Showing posts with label LD8. Show all posts
Showing posts with label LD8. Show all posts

Tuesday, April 23, 2024

Dear Democratic primary voters in LD8: Please write in Lauren Kuby for state senate

Failed candidate David Alger fronted a legal challenge to the one Democratic candidate for state senate in LD8, Rep. Melody Hernandez.

It was successful, in that she withdrew from the race, leaving the Democratic ballot in that district with no candidate for the state senate seat on the ballot.


One person has stepped into the gap. - Lauren Kuby, a former member of the Tempe City Council and long-time community activist.













I don't expect everyone to agree with me on everything (they should though, as I'm always right,  Just ask me. :) )

However, I do expect that all of my elected officials to be decent and honorable human beings, and Lauren falls squarely into that category. 

As she's running as a write-in candidate, she'll need at least 405 people to write her name on their primary ballots in order for her to appear on the general election ballot.

And she easily deserves that.


Note: I've linked to her campaign website on the sidebar to the right.  If you can donate to her campaign, please do so.

Sunday, April 14, 2024

Maybe it's time to expand Arizona's "Sore Loser" law

First up, a quick summary of that law.  From ARS 16-312 -

F. Except as provided in section 16-343, subsection E, a candidate may not file pursuant to this section if any of the following applies:

1. For a candidate in the general election, the candidate ran in the immediately preceding primary election and failed to be nominated to the office sought in the current election.

2. For a candidate in the general election, the candidate filed a nomination petition for the immediately preceding primary election for the office sought and failed to provide a sufficient number of valid petition signatures as prescribed by section 16-322.

3. For a candidate in the primary election, the candidate filed a nomination petition for the current primary election for the office sought and failed to provide a sufficient number of valid petition signatures as prescribed by section 16-322, withdrew from the primary election after a challenge was filed or was removed from or otherwise determined by court order to be ineligible for the primary election ballot.

4. For a candidate in the general election, the candidate filed a nomination petition for nomination other than by primary for the office sought and failed to provide a sufficient number of valid petition signatures as prescribed by section 16-341.


From the Arizona Secretary of State's website -








According to Maricopa Superior Court records, David Alger is suing current LD8 State Representative Melody Hernandez, current Arizona Secretary of State Adrian Fontes, current Maricopa County Recorder Stephen Richer, and the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors (note: I live in LD8, hence my interest).

The case is scheduled for a status conference on 4/16 and Alger's challenge is scheduled to be heard on 4/18.

Election challenges are as old as elections themselves, and so are failed candidates.

In 2020, Alger was a write in candidate in the R primary in then LD24 -




He was trounced in the general election that year -




In 2018, he was on the ballot, both for the R primary and the general election.

He was the only candidate in the R primary and was thoroughly defeated in the general.








Maybe it's time to expand Arizona's to not allow failed candidates to legally challenge other candidates.

Of course, the judge is this case may find his legal filings entertaining - if that judge likes filings that can be summed up with the word "Wahhh!"

Edited on 4/15 to add:

Challenges to legislative and statewide candidates are heard  in Maricopa County Superior Court.  Maricopa County is home of the state capital.  Challenges to municipal- and county-specific candidates will be heard locally.

/End edit


Saturday, August 03, 2013

Split District: LD8

LD8 is a geographically large district that covers a significant part of Pinal County and part of Gila County.  The area that it covers is mostly rural and exurban.  Its largest communities are Casa Grande (48583 residents, per the 2010 census), Maricopa (43482), and Florence (25526).


In terms of current voter registration, it is a competitive district, with 28615 registered Democrats, 23747 Republicans, and 27443 Independents (aka - "Other").  The pre-election 2012 numbers were similar, with a slightly wider Democratic advantage.

Perhaps as a result of its relatively even partisan split, LD8 is one of the three AZ legislative districts with a partisan split in its delegation to the state capitol.

In 2012, it elected Democrat Barbara McGuire to the senate seat from LD8 and Republicans TJ Shope and Frank Pratt to the LD8 House seats.

McGuire is easily the most conservative member of the Democratic caucus.  In most any other state, she'd be a moderate R, but the AZGOP is so far out on the political fringe, she has to be a Democrat here.

Don't know much about Pratt or Shope, other than that Pratt is running for the AZ Corporation Commission next year and that both voted for Medicaid restoration in this year's budget.

Other district-related data, relating to the 2012 elections (general election; primary election):

- In the 2012 presidential election, Barack Obama lost the district by slightly less than 9% of the vote; he lost the state by slightly more than 9%.

- In the 2012 US Senate race, Richard Carmona lost the district by a little less than 1% of the vote; he lost the state by slightly more than 3%.

- McGuire defeated Republican Joe Ortiz 25026 to 23542 for the Senate seat.

- In the House races, Pratt received 24195 and Shope received 22102, defeating Democrats Ernest Bustamante (21258) and Emily Verdugo (20102).

As of this writing, no non-incumbent candidates have opened committees for the district, but that should change in a district that's this closely contested.








Monday, September 19, 2011

Time to get social with your favorite Democrats

The Democrats in LD18 (West Mesa), LD17 (Tempe and South Scottsdale) and LD8 (North Scottsdale and Fountain Hills) have event coming up, including two this week.  Each event will offer good food, better refreshments, and great conversation...as well as the chance to help local Democrats get ready for next year's elections.

- In west Mesa, the LD18 Democrats are holding Dinner at Dusk on Thursday from 6 - 9 p.m.
Info and guests:

Beer & Wine, Silent Auction, Dinner catered by Oregano's and Live Music by Jay Taylor.  Scheduled speakers include State Sen. David Schapira and former State Sen. David Lujan.  Other invited guests include Arizona House Democratic Leader Chad Campbell, former Congressman Harry Mitchell, and Police Chief Dan Saban.

Location:

The Wright House
636 W. University Drive
Mesa, Arizona
 
Tickets:
 
Tickets are $25 in advance, $30 at the door. To purchase ticket contact


Andrew Sherwood
sherwood.andrew@gmail.com

or Sarah Moorhead
sarahemoorhead@yahoo.com

- In Tempe and south Scottsdale, the LD17 Democrats are holding their 2nd Annual Beer Summit on Saturday from 4 - 7 p.m.
Info:  Beer Tastings, Bratwurst, & Good Times! Beer-Tasting competition with prizes.  Celebrating our local brews:  Beer from Papago Brewing, Dave's Electric Brewpub and Four Peaks. Prizes from Tops Liquors and Casey Moore's Oyster House.

Location:

Barnes House
1104 S Ash (11th and Ash)
Tempe

Tickets:

Tickets are $20; $10 for Young Democrats. 
RSVP: RandyKeating@gmail.com

- In north Scottsdale and Fountain Hills, the LD8 Democrats will be holding a 2010 Candidate Reunion on October 15 at 5:30 p.m.

From the event's flyer:
Candidate Reunion


Join the District 8 Democrats on Saturday, October 15, 2011 at 5:30pm

Enjoy a relaxing evening with our 2010 candidates, friends, food and fun at the Scottsdale home of Andy & Bryn

Suggested Contribution: $25.00

RSVP at http://tinyurl.com/D8Reunion

Address and Directions will be emailed to you
 

 
...Hmmm...looking at these three events, can you guess which of the three districts is home to ASU?  LOL

Saturday, September 18, 2010

Debates for the week of September 20, 2010

Most info from the website of the Citizens Clean Elections Commission.

Statewide candidates:

Secretary of State
September 22, 2010

7:00 PM - 7:30 PM
Televised on KAET
Horizon Channel 8


Legislative candidates:

LD18
Monday, September 20, 2010

6:00 PM
Phoenix Mesa Marriott Hotel
200 N Centennial Way
Mesa, AZ 85201


LD3
Tuesday, September 21, 2010

6:00 PM
Bullhead Area Chamber of Commerce Conference Center
1251 Highway 95
Bullhead City, AZ 86429

LD8
September 21, 2010

6:30 PM
Kerr Cultural Center
6110 N Scottsdale Rd
Scottsdale, AZ 85253

 
LD2
Wednesday, September 22, 2010

6:00 PM
Woodlands Radisson Hotel
1175 W Route 66
Flagstaff, AZ 86001


LD7
Thursday, September 23, 2010

6:00 PM
Appaloosa Library
City of Scottsdale
7377 E Silverstone Rd
Scottsdale, AZ 85255


Scottsdale City Council candidate forum (complete community meeting notice here):

Brown Avenue Merchants City Council Debates
Monday, September 20, 2010
6:00 p.m.

City Hall Kiva Forum
3939 N. Drinkwater Blvd.



Later...

Wednesday, July 07, 2010

The Republican election checklist - LD8 version

Sat through the video archive of last week's Clean Elections debate for the Republican House candidates in LD8 (North Scottsdale).

Oh, the sacrifices I make so that others are spared the pain.

Either that, or I'm home sick today and have way too much time on my hands (daytime TV sucks - a few soaps, Springer-esque talk shows, and faux court shows mostly - ugh.)

Four of the six Republican candidates in LD8 were there.  Paula Pennypacker, Michelle Ugenti, and John Kavanagh are participating candidates (AKA - accepting funding from Clean Elections) and had to be there (participation is a condition of CE funding).  Michael Blaire is a traditionally-funded candidate and did not have to participate, but chose to do so.  Ray Mahoubi and Eric Ulis are also traditionally-funded, but chose not to participate.

Democrat John Kriekard is the only D on the ballot, so there won't be a primary debate for the Democrats.  He'll participate in the general election debate.

On to the debate.

OK, there wasn't much of one.  Their differences were more shades of gray than any real differences.

They were mostly following the Republican Election Checklist - 2010 Edition.

To whit -

Fiscal conservative - check, check, check, and check

The Feds are responsible for all that ails Arizona - check X 4

Support SB1070 - check X 4 (Kavanagh, a sponsor of the bill, was especially vociferous in his defense of the new law; Blaire urged people to vote out Congressman Raul Grijalva for calling for a boycott of AZ)

Health care reform: oppose "Obamacare" and favor the free market - check X 4

Education - Empower principals, hold school boards accountable for spending, and increase "school choice" - check X 4

Balancing public life with private life: Family/spouse supportive - check X 4


To be sure, there *were* some minor differences between the candidates -

When asked about the state budget, Pennypacker actually mentioned looking at revenue.  The rest were "cuts, cuts, and more cuts."  In fairness to Pennypacker, she wasn't exactly opposed to cuts, either.

In terms of their location on the political spectrum, again, there wasn't much difference - Kavanagh is a nativist in the Russell Pearce mode, Ugenti is a Tea Party type (she referred to herself as a "TeaPublican"), Blaire is a Chamber of Commerce winger with Tea Party ideations (when asked about the effects of devastating budget cuts, part of his response was "government isn't always the answer" and "people have to take personal responsibility") and Pennypacker, like Ugenti, is also a Tea Party type.  Perhaps a little less knee-jerk about her ideology, she is still an anti-government zealot campaigning for a government office.

I'm sure the four principals would argue that there are all sorts of nuanced differences between them, but they had one other major factor in common -

During the near hour and a half of the debate, not even one of them stated why he/she would be the best choice to represent LD8, or what they would do for the District.

Not one.

The bottom line is that none of the four present last week (and presumably the other two who weren't present) could be generic Republican candidates in any other district or any other state.  Other than the SB1070-specific comments, their positions could have been taken anywhere.

The entire archive of Clean Elections debates held thus far are here.

Sunday, June 27, 2010

This week's Clean Elections debate schedule

Info courtesy the Clean Elections website...

Videos of previously held debates, both statewide and legislative, can be found here.

Statewide candidate debates are being held in the studios of KAET(channel 8) and will be broadcast on Horizon.

Up this week: the candidates for State Superintendent of Public Instruction.

The Republican candidates are scheduled for Tuesday, June 29 at 7 p.m.

The Democratic candidates are scheduled for Wednesday, June 30, also at 7 p.m.


Legislative candidate debates are being held in venues in the various districts throughout the state.

Up this week:

Tuesday, June 29

Republican candidates for the House in LD5
6 p.m. - 8 p.m.
Best Western Payson Inn
801 N. Beeline Highway 87
Payson


Wednesday, June 30

Republican candidates for the House in LD8
6:30 p.m. - 8:30 p.m.
Kerr Cultural Center
8110 N. Scottsdale Rd.
Scottsdale

I will attempt to attend the LD8 debate, schedule permitting. Hope to see you there!

Monday, November 16, 2009

Special session tea leaf reading

Not much to update as yet, but here goes...

The latest rumors are A) that they will try to pull off a one day special session on Thursday, and B) that they'll try for next week before Thanksgiving.

There are obstacles to those potential plans.

As for possibility A, the Governor's public schedule for this week has been posted, and she plans to be in Austin, Texas for the Republican Governors Association annual conference on Wednesday and Thursday.

As for B, there are a number of legislators from both sides of the aisle who will be out of state, and a couple will be out of the country, after this week. Gaining a quorum next week will be difficult; gaining the 31 and 16 votes needed to pass anything will be nearly impossible.

Especially since the Republican Governor, Speaker, and President of the state senate are still adamant in their refusal to work with Democratic members of the lege.

BTW - none of this precludes a special session. The Governor could yet cancel her trip to Austin, or members of the lege could yet cancel their long-planned holiday plans.

Just don't hold your breath waiting for the Capitol leadership to get off of the butts any time soon.

Other lege-related notes:

- Sources report that the Reps had a caucus meeting today. The Governor attended, and when she showed up, the caucus meeting was then closed to the public.

The AZGOP, the party of transparency. Or not.

- Credit Russell Pearce, the State Senator from LD18, with the first bill proposal for the 2nd regular session of the 49th Arizona Legislature. His SB1001 is another attempt to limit the ability of elected officials to put their faces on/publicize themselves in general communications paid for out of public monies.

The only surprise here is that the first bill wasn't one of Pearce's patented anti-Mexican screeds masquerading as a public policy proposal.

On the other hand, it is still early.

- Officially clarifying what had long been expected, LD8 State Rep. John Kavanagh has formed a re-election committee with the AZ Secretary of State's office (filer ID 201000319). Kavanagh, the chair of the House Appropriations Committee, had been rumored (reported here and elsewhere) to be interested in the LD8 Senate seat, currently held by the termed-out-after-next-year Carolyn Allen. However, fellow LD8 Rep. Michelle Reagan is also interested, and she may have a stronger base of support in LD8. Kavanagh couldn't be sure he would prevail in a primary battle with her. On the other hand, he is a near-certain lock to retain his House seat, even in LD8's Republican cattle call in the state representative primary (six candidates and counting).

Friday, September 18, 2009

More 2010 campaign committees forming...

At this point, I won't bother trying to cover all candidate committees, just the ones affecting statewide races and those local to me (LD17, and LDs 8 and 18).

Oh, and any others that are interesting to me in some way. Call it "blogger's privilege" or something.

For those who are interested in races other than the ones mentioned here, the AZ Secretary of State's committee search page is here.

On to the substance of the post...


...In the big news, Felecia Rotellini, formerly Arizona Superintendent of Financial Institutions, formed a committee for her candidacy for the Democratic nomination for Attorney General (filer ID 201000232). Phoenix New Times coverage here. As the linked article points out, she a former prosecutor with some serious cred in that sphere.

And if that wasn't enough to get the attention of State Rep. David Lujan, heretofore the only Democratic candidate in the race, her campaign's chair is Sam Coppersmith, former Congressman and long-time player in Democratic circles. He's also an intermittent blogger.

...In LD8 (north Scottsdale/Fountain Hills), one Dennis Robbins has formed a committee to run for the Republican nomination for State Representative. He also has an interesting name (in Scottsdale, anyway) as chair - Paul Messinger. "Messinger Mortuaries" ring a bell anyone? Messinger was also chair of Jim Lane's mayoral committee last year.

As near as I can tell, this Dennis Robbins is a lawyer, though it is such a common name that a Google search generates a LOT of results.

His committee is the fourth formed for the Rep nomination in LD8 thus far, and neither of the incumbents (Michelle Reagan and John Kavanagh) has yet formed a committee. Reagan has an exploratory committee open that doesn't list an office sought, but it is widely expected that she will announce for the LD8 State Senate seat currently held by Carolyn Allen. Allen is termed out after this session of the lege (I think.)

Another strong rumor is that Kavanagh is also eyeing that Senate seat, possibly setting up a donnybrook primary for the Republicans.

Reagan has money, family influence among LD8 Republicans (her mom is a former chair and her dad is an elected JP), and the right last name, by Republican standards anyway. She is an ardent conservative and member of the Chamber of Commerce wing of the AZGOP. She will occasionally work for the best interests of her district and the state.

Kavanagh has the nativists in the district and the support of the Arpaio/Pearce wing of the AZGOP. 'Nuff said there.

Even if they don't face off next year, they will within the next few cycles, either for LD8 State Senate or for the Congressional seat, whatever district they're in after redistricting.

Right now, give the edge to Reagan in a head-to-head matchup. North Scottsdale is bigger than Fountain Hills.

...In LD17 (home!) one Augustus Shaw IV has formed a $500 threshold committee for a run at State Representative. No party is listed, but Shaw is the 1st Vice Chair of the Arizona Republican Party. He's probably not running as an independent. By profession, he's an attorney for HOAs when they sue their homeowners. He's also somewhat colorful.

He is also a "founding member" of the Coalition of Arizona African American Republicans. The address the Coalition lists with the AZSOS is that of Shaw's law office.

Before I looked into his background, I saw the "$500 Threshold" and no party affiliation, and didn't take the candidacy seriously.

That has changed.

Wednesday, April 01, 2009

New candidate in LD8

The candidate is a Republican, but since I've had all day to either sleep or be awake and bored and/or miserable, it's worth a post.

According the AZ Secretary of State's website, one Eric Ulis has filed to run for the Republican nomination for LD8 State Representative (filer ID 201000082). He's formed a committee as a non-Clean Elections candidate.

Ulis was the chair of an anti-anti-smoking referendum that failed to make the 2006 ballot (I-17-2006). He's also the founder of something called Continental Poker Championship LLC.

...I'm guessing that he is not a huge fan of anti-online gambling Senator and fellow Republican Jon Kyl.

The highlight of my internet search for info on Mr. Ulis was his Facebook page in which he proclaims that his favorite musical artist is George Michael.

...Probably something that he will play down during his campaign. Especially with Mr. Michaels' penchant for getting arrested in public restrooms...something that the Reps have had their own problems with, and probably don't want to be reminded of. :)

Tedski, Gila Courier (and here), Espresso Pundit, and the Phoenix New Times all have posts up about other 2010 candidates.

Would it be immodest to point out that I was there first?? Well, except for EP's Symington and Gila Courier's McCain primary challenge rumors. :)

BTW - If the Symington rumor is true, that would be manna from heaven for Democrats.


Later...

Tuesday, December 02, 2008

Congratulations to the new leadership team in LD8

On Tuesday evening, the torch of leadership of north Scottsdale's (and Fountain Hills') Democrats was passed from outgoing chair (but she's still going to be *very* active) Margaret Hogan to new chair (and current vice-chair) Laura Copple.

The meeting started with Margaret Hogan thanking a number of people for their efforts during this year's campaign. She also took a moment to reminisce about Joel Sinclaire, the candidate for county supervisor who passed away suddenly.

After that, and before she chair the part of the meeting where her successor was elected, she received a standing ovation from the assembled PCs in gratitude for her years of hard work and leadership (she also got a kick-ass cake, but don't tell Doug Mings, the outgoing chair of D17 chair. He'll get jealous. :)) ).

By the time the meeting ended, the LD 8 Democrats had elected Laura Copple as Chair, Chris Brown and Stephanie Rimmer as 1st and 2nd Vice Chairs, respectively, Jeff Jameson as Secretary, and Eddie Lopez as Treasurer.

They also elected 15 representatives to the Democratic State Committee, but I couldn't take notes fast enough to get all of the names down. :)

Again, thanks go out to the outgoing officers - Margaret Hogan, Jerry Gettinger, Tim Ackley, and Susan Fletcher - and congratulations go out the incoming officers.

Have a good night...

Wednesday, November 05, 2008

East Valley Election Results

Well, East Valley, with some statewide and county races included...

Most results still unofficial, but most are still clear. All results courtesy the websites of the AZ Secretary of State, Maricopa County Recorder, and the Scottsdale City Clerk.


In CD5, incumbent Democratic Congressman Harry Mitchell is returning to D.C. with a comfortable margin of victory. With 245 of 248 precincts reporting, Mitchell leads David Schweikert 118,849 to 97,569.

In CD3, Democratic challenger Bob Lord fell short of defeating incumbent Republican John Shadegg (R-Club for Growth), receiving 92,614 votes to Shadegg's 117,439.

While Lord was able to significantly cut into a daunting Republican registration advantage, much like Mitchell did in CD5. However, unlike Mitchell, he's not, well, Harry Mitchell.

In the race for Corporation Commission, Democrats Sandra Kennedy and Paul Newman and Sam George are leading the race with 2219 of 2239 polls reporting. This one is close enough that one of them, Sam George, could be overtaken by Republican Bob Stump as provisional and early ballots are counted and added to the tallies.

In LD8, Republicans Michele Reagan and John Kavanagh were easily returned to the lege over Democratic challenger Stephanie Rimmer, 43,385 and 39,865 votes to 30,189, respectively. State Senator Carolyn Allen was unopposed for reelection.

In LD17, incumbent Democratic State Senator Meg Burton Cahill easily won reelection over Republican Jesse Hernandez, 28,510 to 18,106 while Democratic State Representatives Ed Ableser and David Schapira defeated Republican challengers Mark Thompson and Wes Waddle, with 24,242, 26,469, 19,081, and 15,030 votes respectively.

In LD18, Republican Russell Pearce (R-Nativist) handily won his race for the State Senate over Democrat Judah Nativio 19,510 to 15,250 (100% of precincts reporting) and Republicans Cecil Ash and Steve Court defeated Democrat Tammie Pursley and Independent Joe Brown.

It seems that the residents of west Mesa have to look forward to another two years of not having people in the lege who are there to represent *them*, not an extremist ideology.

In LD20, in a bit of an upset, Democrat Rae Waters will probably be joining Republican John McComish in the Arizona House of Representatives - she's got a small lead over Republican Jeff Dial. On the Senate side, sign-slashing and elderly-woman pushing incumbent Republican John Huppenthal defeated Democratic challenger Ted Maish.

In LD21, Republicans Warde Nichols and Steve Yarbrough stood off the challenge of Democrat Phil Hettmansperger, 45,757 and 37,403 votes to 36,232. Republican State Senator Jay Tibshraeny was unchallenged for reelection.

In LD22, Republicans Andy Biggs and Lauren Hendrix defeated Democrat Glenn Ray, with 48,157, 46,132, and 35,211 votes, respectively. On the senate side, Republican Thayer Verschoor was unchallenged for reelection.


In Maricopa County races...

In the four contested County Supervisor races, all four Republican incumbents were returned to office easily, with none of the Democratic challengers surpassing 46% of the vote inteir race.

Republican County Attorney Andrew Thomas defeated Democratic challenger Tim Nelson 514,820 votes to 440,197.

Republican Sheriff Joe Arpaio defeated Democrat Dan Saban 588,550 votes to 444,551.

Guess this means another four years of invaded libraries, shackled journalists, and unbridled corruption.

In the race for the Maricopa County Special Healthcare District, 3 out of the 5 candidates that were endorsed by the Maricopa County GOP lost, including District 3's Colette Rosati, who was spanked by Sue Gerard 85,369 votes to 43,909.


In the races for Scottsdale Mayor and City Council...

The race for Mayor is tight, but challenger Jim Lane has a nearly-800 vote lead over incumbent Mary Manross, 41,255 votes to 40,663. As for the City Council, it appears that incumbent Ron McCullagh will be returned to the council with newcomers Lisa Borowsky and Suzanne Klapp joining him. Incumbent Betty Drake is in fourth place, less than 900 votes behind Klapp.

Both the Mayoral and Council races could change slightly as the final mail-in and provisional ballot totals come in, but it appears that the face of Scottsdale's municipal government has changed.

However, there will still be a huge number of issues decided by a 4-3 margin.

(Wayne Ecton, Klapp and McCullagh on one side, with Lane, Tony Nelssen, and Bob Littlefield on the other. Lisa Borowsky will be the wild card. Expectations seem to be that she will mostly side with the Chamber of Commerce crowd, Ecton, Klapp, and McCullagh. We'll find out for sure starting in January.)

As for the ballot propositions, Prop 100 (barring a sales tax on real estate transfers) passed by a more than 3-to-1 margin; Prop 101 (Health Care Choice, aka 'banning all public health insurance plans') looks to be going down to defeat by a margin of approximately 2000 votes; Prop 102 (constitutional amendment banning same-sex marriages) passed by nearly 240,000 votes; Prop 105 (Majority Rules, aka "not voting counts as a 'No' vote) was easily defeated by a nearly 2-1 margin; Prop 200 (Payday Loan reform, aka 'permanent legalization of loan sharking'), was defeated by 400,000 votes; Prop 201 (Homeowners' Bill of Rights) went down to defeat by a more than 3-1 margin; Prop 202 (Stop Illegal Hiring, aka 'Protect Big Business' ability to depress wages and hire cheap labor') was defeated soundly (400K+ votes); and Prop 300 (legislative pay raises from the current salary of $24K to $30K) was also soundly defeated.

More later!

Saturday, October 25, 2008

Impressive Democratic registration gains

Another one of those boring 'numbers' posts, but since I like the numbers in question... :))

All numbers taken from the Arizona Secretary of State's October 2006 and October 2008 voter registration reports.

Across the state, the Democratic Party has shown significant gains in voter registration, frequently outpacing any Republican gains by a margin of four or five to one in some districts. (PoliickerAZ coverage here)

In the Scottsdale/Tempe/Mesa area, the gains were both consistent and pronounced -

CD5 - 108,300 Democrats, 146,691 Republicans

In two years, CD5 Democrats gained almost 14,000 registrations, taking the gap from over 52K to just over 38K.

That gain, as well as an increase of nearly 17K Independent voters in CD5 is definitely positive news for centrist incumbent Harry Mitchell.


LD17 - 30,096 Democrats, 26,433 Republicans

In two years, LD17 Democrats turned a registration shortfall of 970 into an advantage of over 3600.

Definitely good news for State Sen. Meg Burton-Cahill and State Reps. David Schapira and Ed Ableser.


LD8 - 29,161 Democrats, 56,474 Republicans

In two years, LD8 Democrats gained over 2300 voters on the Republicans in the district; in addition, there are more than 5400 more independent voters in the district. While Stephanie Rimmer still faces an uphill battle in her quest for an LD8 House seat, that seat is well within the realm of reachable.


LD18 - 17,780 Democrats, 26,558 Republicans

In two years, the Democrats in LD18 have gained almost 2900 registrations on the Reps. Combine that with the fact that the LD18 Republicans were almost total slackers in registering new voters (they gained 813, or 3.1%, the Reps in the other area districts gained more than 5% each), and Tammie Pursley and Judah Nativio are in prime position to make LD18 purple, if not blue.

Of course, the brutal Rep primary between Russell Pearce (R-National Alliance) and Kevin Gibbons (R-Jeff Flake's brother-in-law) and the resultant divisions among the Rep faithful in the district doesn't hurt their chances, either.

All in all, some very encouraging numbers for the Democrats in the area (though LD8 will still be a tough nut to crack).

However, with John McCain at the top of the Rep ticket, Democrats will still need every available vote.

As such, there are precincts to walk in, doors to knock on, and phone calls to place.

Later!

Friday, October 24, 2008

Polished bigotry is still bigotry

There is so much to write about - a McCain campaign aide's race-baiting, the irony of both Barack Obama and Sarah Palin pulling off of the campaign trail at the same time - the irony being that Obama went to be with his ailing grandmother while Palin went to be deposed in the investigation of her abuse of office in Alaska - but I don't have enough time for that.

Instead, the focus will be much closer to home.

Specifically, the AZ Republic's endorsement of nativist John Kavanagh over Democrat Stephanie Rimmer in the race for LD8 House.

Of course, they have the right to endorse any candidate they choose, and for any reason that they choose. However, their rationalization for selecting Kavanagh for the endorsement was breathtaking.

From the editorial (emphasis mine) -
Kavanagh's signature issue in his first term has been, as he promised, illegal immigration. He is as zealous on the issue as Rep. Russell Pearce, R-Mesa, which makes us uncomfortable. But there is a profound difference between the two men: Kavanagh is more intelligent and more tactful in making his points...

Hey, I've no disagreement with the Rep on the main point - Kavanagh *is* more intelligent, educated, tactful, and just generally more polished than Pearce.

Even combined, however, intelligence, education, tact, and polish do not make nativists any less bigoted.

And have no doubt - Kavanagh *is* an unabashed nativist. He may have been on his best behavior for the Rep's editors, but when he feels like he is comfortably ensconced among fellow travelers on the anti-immigrant trail, he lets his hair down a bit, as documented in this post from June of 2007.

Simply put, Stephanie Rimmer is a much better choice to represent LD8's residents. She's an intelligent and hard-working businesswoman and community activist whose pro-education, pro-conservation, and pro-business views are a far tighter fit with those of the voters of north Scottsdale and Fountain Hills than Kavanagh's anti-public education, anti-brown people, and anti-government views.

Note: it is sort of hypocritical of Kavanagh to constantly rail against government spending when his entire career has been one of taxpayer-funded positions in the military, as a police officer in New York, as an instructor at Scottsdale Community College, and as an elected official.

Don't misunderstand me - based on what I know, he's had a laudable career of public service, but when he attacks the same government spending that has supported he and his family for decades, I have to wonder where his head's at. (Think: "dire need for cranio-rectal dislodgement surgery" :)) )

Anyway, help Stephanie Rimmer and all of LD8 by volunteering with her campaign or at the coordinated campaign office in Scottsdale (480.607.4435) to help put her over the top.

Have a good weekend!

Friday, October 03, 2008

Endorsements and canvasses

Ahhh....Autumn in an even-numbered year...

...Leaves turning, filling our vision with a palette of colors (OK, in non-AZ parts of the country :) )...

...The Cardinals finding ever-more painful ways to lose football games, filling our living rooms and sports bars with cries of anguish and derision...


...People walking and knocking, filling our hearing with words of this candidate or that ballot question...


...Newspapers and mailers covering our fingers with ink. crowing about endorsements...



Either temps are dropping, or early ballots are hitting mailboxes this week.

Whatever the cause, the lists of both endorsements and scheduled canvasses this week are getting longer by the minute.


The AZ Republic released its endorsements in LDs 17, 18, 19, 20, 21 and 22 (aka - the East Valley). That list looks less like they seriously considered the merits of each candidate and more like they wanted only to hedge their bets.


In all of the districts except for LD19, they split their support, selecting one member of one party and two of the other party.


Now, personally, I think that if the Rep actually cared about the interests of the districts and the state, they should have endorsed all Democrats...but I'm a self-admitted partisan hack. :)


In other words, I may not agree with all of their endorsements, but they have the right to endorse any candidate they choose, and for any reason.


However, partisan hack or not, I have to take exception to two of their snubs - Tammie Pursley in LD18 and Ed Ableser in LD17.


Apparently, they preferred Cecil Ash over Pursley because of his moderate (by LD18 standards, anyway), pro-business position on illegal immigration. Apparently, they ignored the fact that is the only issue on which Ash is remotely 'moderate.' He is active with United Families International, a far-right AZ-based organization that works to "support traditional families" by things like opposing radical UN initiatives such as the UN Conventions on Women's Rights and Children's Rights (the conventions oppose hallmarks of the traditional family structure like forced marriage of children and gender-selective infanticide.)


Tammie Pursley may be focused on education, but she has the intelligence and the work ethic to learn, contribute and lead on other issues as AZ moves into into the 21st century.


Ash will just serve as a chain dragging Arizona back to the 19th century.


As for Ed Ableser, the Rep's editors criticized him for being too partisan in supporting efforts to assist Corona del Sol High School with its air quality issues.


Huh??


In a session that saw some of the most underhanded tactics from the Republican caucus in the lege *against* ideas and people they don't like, (such as Sen. Jack Harper's work to kill a texting-while-driving ban and to railroad the anti-same sex marriage constitutional amendment on to November's ballot) they're criticizing a Democrat for fighting *for* his constituents?

Bit of a credibility gap there.

In other endorsement news,

...Congressman Harry Mitchell has endorsed Bob Lord, the candidate whose challenge in CD3 has incumbent Republican John Shadegg running scared (witness his vote in favor of the bailout bill)

...The AZ Rep has endorsed Democrat Tim Nelson for Maricopa County Attorney. Supporters of Andrew Thomas will undoubtedly point out the fact that Thomas didn't seek the Rep's endorsement. They will also undoubtedly ignore the fact that even Thomas knew better than to even bother after his abortive attempt to intimidate critics in the press into silence. The editors of the Rep don't seem to have forgotten the harassment, investigation and arrests of journalists from the Phoenix New Times.

...The endorsements issued by the Maricopa County GOP in the nonpartisan race for the Maricopa Integrated Health System board seems to have upset some of the snubbed candidates, most of whom are long-time Republicans. It seems that most of them didn't even *know* that endorsements were even being considered.

Should make for a fun time at the MCGOP's next organizing meeting after the election (probably sometime in January.)


As for canvasses this weekend...

...Governor Janet Napolitano will be in the East Valley on Saturday, walking and knocking with dozens (hundreds?? hint, hint :)) ) of enthusiastic volunteers.

First, at 8:30 a.m. join the Governor and State Senator Meg Burton-Cahill, State Representative Ed Ableser, and State Representative David Schapira at the Tempe coordinated campaign headquarters at 123 E. Baseline in Tempe. The office phone number is 480-820-2298.

After that at 9:30 a.m., the Governor will be making a stop in LD21 in Chandler to help Phil Hettmansperger. Meet up at Pima Park, 625 N. McQueen Dr. Chandler (East side of McQueen Rd, between Ray Rd. and Chandler Blvd.) Contact Darcy at the Tempe office at 480-820-2298.

...Ed Hermes, candidate for County Supervisor in District 1, will be holding a canvass in LD20 with Tim Nelson, Ted Maish (candidate for State Senate), and Rae Waters (State House) on Sunday, October 5. The walk is scheduled to begin at 4:30 p.m. Contact the campaign at ed[at]edhermes.com or 480-234-1753.

...In LD18, Judah Nativio and Tammie Pursley will be busy this weekend. Contact them at http://www.electnativio.com/homepage.php or http://www.pursleyforchange.com/08/.

...In LD8 and LD7, contact the Scottsdale coordinated campaign office located at 7950 E Acoma Dr. at 480-607-4435. Candidates Stephanie Rimmer (LD8), Jeanne Lunn (LD7), Joel Sinclaire (County Supervisor SD2) and Marilyn Fox (SD3) as well as Congressman Harry Mitchell all need your help.

Later!

Monday, September 08, 2008

Events Calendar

Wednesday, September 10 - The Grand Opening of the Arizona office of the Obama/Biden campaign.

Join Kelly Paisley, the Arizona State Director for the Obama campaign, at the newly-opened office at 922 N. 6th St. (corner of Roosevelt and 6th Street) in Phoenix. The event starts at 4:00 p.m. RSVP here.


Saturday, September 13 - Turning the County Blue!, a candidate meet-and-greet/fundraiser for candidates Dan Saban (for Sheriff), Tim Nelson (for County Attorney) and Ed Hermes (for County Supervisor).

Time: 6:30 p.m.
Place: The home of Alison Shannon in Tempe.

For info and directions, contact Alison Shannon at 682-554-0726 or allison.shannon[at]@gmail.com.

Suggested contribution: $25/candidate ($75 total) or whatever you can afford; for Young Dems, $10/candidate ($30 total.)


Monday and Tuesday, September 15 and 16 - The Arizona chapter of the National Jewish Democratic Council will be presenting the documentary "Farewell Israel," a highly-regarded study of the relationship between Israel, the West, and Islam. For directions and more info, contact Jerry Gettinger at 480-563-3206 or email at njdcphx[at]cox.net.


Monday, September 15 - The GEMDEMS Victory '08 Dinner, with special guest Governor Janet Napolitano. The dinner will be at the Broadway Palm Dinner Theater, 5247 E. Brown Rd., in Mesa. Doors open at 5 p.m., VIP reception at 6 p.m., and dinner at 6:45 p.m. Tickets are $110 for the VIP reception and $50 for the dinner only. Tickets can be purchased online here or in-person at the GEMDEMS office in Mesa (7141 E. Main St.)

In addition to Governor Napolitano, a number of the candidates from LDs 18 - 22 will be there.


Thursday, September 18 - The District 8 Democrats will be holding a forum on the propositions on November's ballot. The featured speaker will be Eric Ehst of the Arizona Citizens Clean Elections Commission. The forum will take place at the Via Linda Senior Center, 10440 E. Via Linda, Scottsdale. For more info, contact LD8 Chair Margaret Hogan at mhoganaz[at]msn.com, Vice-Chair Laura Copple at lcopple[at]cox.net, or Vice-Chair Jerry Gettinger at jget[at]cox.net.

Note - the LD17 Democrats will be featuring a brief feature on the props at their monthly meeting, Tuesday, September 9 at the Pyle Center in Tempe. Each member of the D17 Issues Committee has selected one or two of the ballot propositions on which to present a short synopsis. The meeting starts at 7:00 p.m.

Both forums are free of charge and open to the public.

Later!

Saturday, September 06, 2008

Preliminary General Election Debate Schedule

With the results of the primary elections in the books, now the general election season begins, and with it, the general election candidate debates/forums have been scheduled.

Courtesy the Arizona Citizens Clean Elections Commission -

Note: only the forums in the Tempe/Scottsdale/West Mesa area are listed here; the complete list of Clean Elections debates is at the link.


Monday, September 15 -

1 p.m. - 3:30 p.m. Corporation Commission Debate
Location: Rio Salado College Conference Center, 2323 W 14th St., Tempe, AZ


Wednesday, September 17 -

6:00 p.m. - 7:30 p.m. LD18 Candidate Debate
Location: East Valley Institute of Technology Lecture Hall, 1601 W. Main St., Mesa, AZ


Monday, September 22 -

6:30 p.m. - 8:00 p.m. LD8 Candidate Debate
Location: Kerr Cultural Center Studio, 6110 N Scottsdale Rd., Scottsdale, AZ


Wednesday, September 24 -

6:30 p.m. - 8:00 p.m. LD17 Candidate Debate
Location: Sky Song Convergence Rm 1475, N Scottsdale Rd., Scottsdale, AZ (SE corner of Scottsdale and McDowell Roads)


As info about more debates becomes available, particularly those in LDs 8, 17, and18, for Corporation Commission, or for Scottsdale, I'll post it here.

Wednesday, August 06, 2008

Mail Call...

Time for the second of this year's "mail call" posts, and this one is a big one - the primary ballot is here.

While exciting for political geeks, the ballot itself is actually a bit of a disappointment - the Democratic ballot in the LD17 section of Scottsdale contains as many "no candidate races" as it does actual primary contests.

There are four contests - Corporation Commission, Maricopa County Attorney, Mayor of Scottsdale, and Scottsdale City Council (those last two are non-partisan races - they're on all ballots in Scottsdale.)

Uncontested by Democratic candidates are the offices of Maricopa County Recorder, Assessor, School Superintendent, and Treasurer.

Those seats haven't been contested by Democrats since before 2000, the earliest I could find results for on the Maricopa County Recorder's website.

Now, these offices aren't exactly the highest profile offices. I can only name the holder of one of them - Helen Purcell, the County Recorder.

And that's only because, political geek that I am :) , I spend so much time on her office's website.
As for the rest of them, they're notable mostly when they do something that they shouldn't.

Having said that, in spite of the relative anonymity of the jobs, it's still disappointing that no challengers could be found (hey! To anyone who is considering a run for office, you might want to consider this - state legislators earn $24K per year; the four county officer positions mentioned in this post earn over $67K per year. Just something to think about...)

Anyway, I'll mull over the choices on the primary ballot (the County Attorney and Scottsdale City Council races are especially tough) and fill out and return my ballot in the next week or so.

This post does provide a good excuse to list the contact info for the various Democratic candidates on ballots in Scottsdale, Tempe, and west Mesa (all info courtesy the candidates' websites or their AZ Rep questionnaires) -

Congressman Harry Mitchell (CD5)
http://www.harry2008.com/
123 East Baseline Road (SE corner of Mill and Baseline)
Suite D-102
Tempe
480-755-3343
info@harry2008.com

Representative David Schapira (LD17)
480-626-8100
http://www.davidforaz.com/ds/index.htm
info@davidforaz.com

Representative Ed Ableser (LD17)
http://www.edableser.com/
1-877-868-3392
info@edableser.com

Ed Hermes, candidate for SD1 County Supervisor
http://www.edhermes.com/Home.html
7305 W. Boston
Chandler
480-626-8100

Joel Sinclaire, candidate for SD2 County Supervisor
25249 North Ranch Gate Road
Scottsdale, AZ 85255
(602) 821-3800
Joel@ElectSinclaire.com
ElectSinclaire.com

Stephanie Rimmer, candidate for State Representative (LD8)
http://www.stephanierimmer.com/
stephanie@stephanierimmer.com
602.432.2486

Judah Nativio, candidate for State Senator (LD18)
http://www.electnativio.com/
3440 East Southern Ave. #1109
Mesa AZ 85204 480-861-2160
judah@electnativio.com

Tammie Pursley, candidate for State Representative (LD18)
http://www.pursleyforchange.com/08/
(602) 373-1707
1544 N. 1st Place
Mesa, AZ 85201

Dan Saban, candidate for County Sheriff
602-390-3136
http://www.sabanforsheriff.com/2008
info@sabanforsheriff.com

Gerald Richard, candidate for County Attorney
4003 E. Agave Rd.
Phoenix, Arizona 85044
602-513-2743
http://richardforcountyattorney.com/
info@richardforcountyattorney.com

Tim Nelson, candidate for County Attorney
4340 East Indian School Road
Suite 21-119
Phoenix, AZ 85018
(602) 672-2938
http://www.timnelson2008.com/
info@richardforcountyattorney.com

For more information on candidates for statewide office or in other LDs, visit the AZ Dems' website.

Thursday, July 03, 2008

Campaign Finance Reports - LD8, LD17, LD18

All info courtesy the website of the Arizona Secretary of State...

LD8 State Senate -

Carolyn Allen, Republican (traditional financing) - raised $22000, spent $8000, cash on hand $68000. Interesting names: Her entire list of contributors reads like a "Who's Who" of the Arizona business community (heavy on the healthcare sector), so in the interests of brevity, I won't list any of them, but one of the non-business community folks to contribute to her campaign was David Waid, former ED of the Arizona Democratic Party, who gave $100.

Robert Weber, Libertarian (Clean Elections financing) - Nada. Zip. Bupkes. No activity. At all. When I saw this report, I was going to question why go to the effort of getting on the ballot if he wasn't going to at least *try* to mount a campaign, but upon further reflection, I've decided not to go there.

Not because I'm feeling nice, but because Mr. Weber didn't actually qualify for the ballot.


LD8 State Representative -

Michele Reagan, Republican (Traditional) - Raised $11000, spent $11000, cash on hand of just under $46000. Interesting name: David Waid (again!) gave $200.

Stephanie Rimmer, Democrat (Clean Elections) - Raised $2000, spent $1600, cash on hand of $400.

John Kavanagh, Republican (Clean Elections) - Raised $930, spent slightly less than $400, cash on hand slightly more than $500.


LD17 State Senate -

Meg Burton Cahill, Democrat (Clean Elections) - Raised almost $2900. spent $86, cash on hand of a little more than $2700.

Jesse Hernandez, Republican (Clean Elections) - Raised $250, spent $0, cash on hand $250.


LD17 State Representative -

David Schapira, Democrat (Clean Elections) - Raised $16000 ($12921 CCEC funding), spent $2500, cash on hand $14200.

Ed Ableser, Democrat (Clean Elections) - Raised $14600 ($12921 CCEC funding), spent $2400, cash on hand $12600.

Wes Waddle, Republican (Clean Elections) - Raised $500, spent $150, cash on hand $350.

Mark Thompson, Republican (Clean Elections) - Raised $1200, spent $100, cash on hand $1100.


LD18 State Senate -

Judah Nativio, Democrat (Clean Elections) - Raised $960, spent just under $800, cash on hand of just under $800.

Kevin Gibbons, Republican (Traditional) - Raised $66000, spent $3500, cash on hand of just under $63000. Interesting names: State Rep. Lynne Pancrazi donated $200; Jean McGrath, former legislator and current member of the Central Arizona Water Conservation District board, gave $100; Jim Pederson, former Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate gave $390. In addition, he had a large number of agriculture-related contributors, a large group from Yuma, of all places.

Russell Pearce, Republican (Clean Elections) - Raised $2300, spent $24000 ($23K had to do with closing the books on the Pearce Exploratory Committee), cash on hand $2600. Received $19382 CCEC funding after the reporting period ended.

I thought that Pearce's exploratory committee was a federal one formed for his abortive run at Jeff Flake's CD6 seat, so I'm not sure why anything related to it is showing up on his state report. I'll see what I can find out (aka - I'll call the Secretary of State's office and ask :) ).


LD18 Representative -

Tammie Pursley, Democrat (Clean Elections) - Raised $1700, spent $350, cash on hand of $1300.

Cecil Ash, Republican (Clean Elections) - Raised $2950, spent $800, cash on hand of $2150. Received $19382 CCEC funding after the reporting period ended.

Steve Court, Republican (Clean Elections) -Raised almost $14700 ($12921 CCEC), spent $6500, cash on hand $8200. Received supplemental CCEC funding of $6461 ($19382 total) after the reporting period ended.

Kanani Henderson, Republican (Traditional) - Raised $1300, spent $260, cash on hand of nearly $1100.

Ron Middlebrook, Republican (Clean Elections) - Raised $1245, spent $0, cash on hand $1245. Received $19382 CCEC funding after the reporting period ended.


CCEC's LD18 candidate forum for Republican candidates (House and Senate) will be held on Thursday, July 10 at EVIT, 1601 W. Main St., Mesa, AZ from 6:00 p.m until 8:00 p.m.


I'll do a post on Corporation Commission candidate reports later on Thursday.

Later!

Thursday, June 26, 2008

Voter Reg Trends and other numbers

Looks like it's the week for really dry and numbers-heavy posts...

...The AZ Republic and PolitickerAZ each have stories up on the latest voter registration figures from the Arizona Secretary of State's Office. The stories discuss some of the statewide numbers and the gains that the Arizona Democratic Party has made since the 2006 election.

The SOS's voter reg figures repository is here.

A more local look at the numbers ('local' meaning CD5 and LDs 8, 17, and 18) -

In CD5, Democratic registrations have increased by more than 10000 since October of 2006 while Republican registrations are down slightly (379). Overall registrations are up a little more than 14000. The most encouraging aspect of this is that more than 71% of the increase in registered voters in CD5 since October 2006 has been Democratic.

In the shorter term, since March of this year (after the bump in registrations brought on by the Presidential primaries), Democratic registrations increased by more than 4200, Republican registrations by more than 2200 and overall registrations by 9600.


In LD8, the Democrats there continue to make headway against the daunting Rep registration advantage.

Since October 2006, Democratic registrations in LD8 have increased by over 3000; Republican registrations are up by 370, and overall registrations are up 5200.

Yes, the Democrats have more than 8 times the new registrations as the Reps since 2006.

Since March (post-primary bump), the Dems are up nearly 1000, the Reps just under 900, and overall registrations up 2600.


In LD17, Democratic registrations are up more than 2400 since October 2006, Rep registrations down more than 200, and overall registrations up 2750.

Yes, more than 88% of the overall increase since the last election is due to Democratic registrations.

Since March, Dem registrations are up 1300, Rep registrations are up 400, and overall registrations are up by more than 2600.

Yes, even post-bump, the LD17 Democrats have been adding to their 2006 momentum.


Some of the most encouraging registration numbers are in LD18, where Democratic registrations have increased by more than 1700 since October 2006 while Rep registrations have decreased by more than 700 over the same period. Overall registrations have increased by more than 1800.

Since March, Democratic registrations have increased by just under 1000, Reps by just under 600 and overall registrations by more than 2200.

The Reps still have a registration advantage in LD18, but it's now a manageable one. Tammie Pursley (House) and Judah Nativio (Senate) are running in LD18; look for one or both to pull off a major surprise come November.


Raw figures (and apologies for the formatting, or lack thereof :) ) -

Key - Party, June 2008 figures, March 2008, October 2006

CD5 -

Democratic, 96842, 92595, 86743
Republican, 138678. 136430, 139057
Overall, 329264, 319622, 315185


LD8 -

Democratic, 26536, 25555, 23500
Republican, 53525, 52654, 53155
Overall, 110687, 108085, 105458

LD17 -

Democratic, 26571,25249, 24131
Republican, 24880, 24478, 25101
Overall, 72909, 70245, 70159

LD18 -

Democratic, 15839, 14852, 14109
Republican, 25009, 24437, 25745
Overall, 55979, 53705, 54123


...The latest KAET/ASU poll asked respondents the following question - "If Arizona state government shuts down because the governor and the state legislature cannot agree on the budget, who do you think is most responsible for the impasse – the governor or the state legislature? "

52% of respondents hold the legislature most responsible for the budget impasse.

Seems like that in spite of the Republicans' best efforts to destroy public education in Arizona, some intelligence and perceptiveness still remains. :)

Later!