Election Results 2024

When the Arizona Secretary of State and the Maricopa County Recorder post initial results, I'll post some of them here.  Those initial results will only be early ballots, and unless the total overwhelmingly favors one side, races won't be called by the MSM.

A few caveats:

1. They'll be AZ results only.

2. The list of races covered will NOT be comprehensive.  If readers want one added, particularly statewide or in Maricopa County, please leave a comment.

3. No state legislative races will be covered, but that may change as listed races go clearly in one direction or the and drop off my list.

4. My intent is to do an initial report and at or just after 9 (if totals change significantly) and the go to bed and pick it up tomorrow.

5. Reality may intercede and change any of this.

Cash on hand numbers are in - Statewide edition

Courtesy the Arizona Secretary of State -

* = incumbent

Only major party ballot candidates are included.

And this only includes numbers reported by the candidates themselves and doesn't include spending by PACs and dark money groups, of which their has been a lot of already.

Cash on hand numbers are in - Federal edition

Courtesy the FEC -

* = incumbent

Only major party ballot candidates are included.

And this only includes numbers reported by the candidates themselves and doesn't include spending by PACs and dark money groups, of which their has been a lot of already.

Sinema's number is included just for giggles - she isn't up for re-election this time.

Arizona"s R members of Congress don't really give a damn about Arizona

At least based on their bill proposals, they don't.  They *do* hate immigrants, government/society, choice, Covid mitigation measures, democracy/election, and, of course, Joe Biden.

From my spreadsheet, data source Congress.gov -

While the total number of bills proposed by each member was easy to determine (than you. Congress.gov); categorization less so, since that was all me.

They proposed only six Arizona-specific bills between them (with Paul Gosar leading the way, but he made up for it) they all hate immigrants with 13 bill proposals between them.

However, that number is next to nothing when compared to their anti-government/society proposals, with 44 of those.

Additionally, they each like Covid, or at least have offered proposals against Covid mitigation measures.

Lastly, it's no surprise that Gosar and Biggs, two of Congress' leading collaborators of the January 6th insurrection have offered bills that are anti-elections/democracy.

Even the fifth, unofficial, Republican member of the Arizona delegation to Congress, Kyrsten Sinema, did better than that -

There is some hope here

Maricopa County, Arizona is getting bluer.  That's significant because Maricopa County dominates everything, including politics, in Arizona.   It has a little less than 62% of the state's population, and a little less than 61% of the state's registered voters. (61.81% of population; 60.96% of voters)

Someone smarter than me might have some insight into the gap, but I consider the percentages to be (roughly) equal.

The rest of the state is purple - while there were Blue and Red areas, they roughly balanced out; however, Maricopa County was so Red and so dominated Arizona that the whole state was considered to be a Red one.  That has changed.

From the Census Bureau -

From the website of the Arizona Secretary of State -

• 
  

From my own spreadsheet, but the source for the data in it is the AZ SOS -

Roughly 1/3 of county voters are "other" (mostly 'party unaffiliated') and that has basically decreased through the years.

On the other hand, in Maricopa County, Democratic registration has risen from 41.78% of the total in August of 2012 to 46.65% in October of 2021, and it appears that most of the increase came from "Other" voters

To be sure, the gap closes in presidential election years like 2020 and widens in non-presidential election years, but the overall trend is unmistakable.