Sunday, December 26, 2021

There is some hope here

Maricopa County, Arizona is getting bluer.  That's significant because Maricopa County dominates everything, including politics, in Arizona.   It has a little less than 62% of the state's population, and a little less than 61% of the state's registered voters. (61.81% of population; 60.96% of voters)

Someone smarter than me might have some insight into the gap, but I consider the percentages to be (roughly) equal.


The rest of the state is purple - while there were Blue and Red areas, they roughly balanced out; however, Maricopa County was so Red and so dominated Arizona that the whole state was considered to be a Red one.  That has changed.

From the Census Bureau -











From the website of the Arizona Secretary of State -


















From my own spreadsheet, but the source for the data in it is the AZ SOS -









Roughly 1/3 of county voters are "other" (mostly 'party unaffiliated') and that has basically decreased through the years.


On the other hand, in Maricopa County, Democratic registration has risen from 41.78% of the total in August of 2012 to 46.65% in October of 2021, and it appears that most of the increase came from "Other" voters























To be sure, the gap closes in presidential election years like 2020 and widens in non-presidential election years, but the overall trend is unmistakable.

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