Poll that says a 3rd party run by Kyrsten Sinema doesn't mean a victory for the GOP in the 2024 US Senate election

I don't believe it, but I'm going to leave this here.

From Noble Predictive Insights -

The Sinema Situation: Gallego's Edge and the Enigma of Sinema's Independent Run

Sinema's Third-Party Run Does Not Guarantee a GOP Victory in Arizona Senate Race

As the 2024 Arizona Senate race looms, recent public opinion polling data fromNoble Predictive Insights’ (NPI) – formerly OH Predictive Insights (OHPI) – latest Arizona Public Opinion Pulse (AZPOP) sheds light on some intriguing dynamics that challenge conventional political wisdom. Contrary to initial assumptions, the potential entry of Senator Kyrsten Sinema as a third-party candidate does not necessarily guarantee a GOP victory. The poll results indicate that Sinema faces challenges within her own party, which might make her path to victory more complex.

This AZPOP, conducted from July 13 – 17, 2023, surveyed 1,000 registered voters in Arizona and had a margin of error of ± 3.1%.