Wednesday, August 02, 2023

Sen. Kyrsten Sinema: Under Water With AZ Voters

Hope she has gills.


From MorningConsult -

U.S. Senator Rankings: Manchin, Sinema Are Among America’s Least Popular Ahead of Potential Campaigns

How the senators stack up

Sen. John Barrasso of Wyoming boasts a 70% approval rating in his state, making him the most popular senator, according to surveys Morning Consult conducted April 1-June 30 in all 50 states.

On the other side of the coin, Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell remains America’s most unpopular senator, with roughly 3 in 5 Kentucky voters expressing disapproval of his job performance. His current position is in line with his standing in the first quarter of 2023, driven by his continued poor standing among Republican voters following his 2020 re-election.
















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It's not all bad news for Sinema - she's marginally above water with D voters.

On the other hand, she's doing worse with Independent voters...and they represent a plurality among AZ voters.

My guess is that poll numbers won't mean anything to her.

According to her latest FEC filing (period ending 6/30/2023), she has more than $10.75 million in cash on hand
















Prediction 1: The only way she *doesn't* run is if she finds a way to give her committee's cash to herself.

Prediction 2: The only way she wins is if Rep. Ruben Gallego (D) drops out of the race (seems very unlikely as he's outraising her by a wide margin) and the Rs nominate someone as crazy as Rep. Paul Gosar (not exactly out of the realm of possibility).


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