Statewide and legislative:
Withdrawals -
Nothing significant that hasn't already been covered, but it's still nice to visit the Secretary of State's page listing withdrawn candidates and see the name of Republican Steve May and seven of the faux-Greens that he helped to scam their way onto the ballot.
The SOS' page listing all official write-in candidates for statewide and legislative candidates is here.
Running unopposed in the general election:
Democrat Jack Jackson Jr., State Senate, LD2
Democrat Steve Gallardo, State Senate, LD13
Democrat Robert Meza, State Senate, LD14
Democrat Leah Landrum, State Senate, LD16
Republican John McComish, State Senate, LD20
Republican Steve Yarbrough, State Senate, LD21
Republican Andy Biggs, State Senate, LD22
Democrat Olivia Cajero Bedford, State Senate, LD27 (2 "write-ins" have declared for the race)
Democrat Linda Lopez, State Senate, LD29
Republicans Doris Goodale and Nancy McLain, State House, LD3
Democrats Richard Miranda and Anna Tovar, State House, LD13
Democrats Chad Campbell and Debbie McCune-Davis, State House, LD14
Republicans Eddie Farnsworth and Steve Urie, State House, LD22
In addition to those candidates who are completely unopposed on November's ballot, a few others face only opponents from "minor" party candidates (i.e. - Libertarians and Greens):
Republican Rich Crandall, State Senate, LD19 - sole opposition is a Libertarian
Democrats Tom Chabin and Albert Hale, State House, LD2 - one Libertarian is on the ballot
Republicans Tom Forese and J.D. Mesnard, State House, LD21 - one Green is on the ballot
Maricopa County:
Non-partisan general election candidate listing here.
Withdrawn from the race for the Board of Directors of the Central Arizona Project (CAWCD) -
Joseph Hobbs
Considered elected due to lack of opposition -
Susan Gerard and Elbert Bicknell, Districts 3 and 4 of the Board of Directors of the Maricopa Integrated Health System
Ruth Coleman, Jeff Gerber, and Edward Hurley of the Chandler County Island Fire District
Joseph Cantelme, Randy Hancock, and Brian Moore of the Daisy Mountain Fire District
Frank Haas and Dwight Music of the Harquahala Valley Fire District
Fern Ward of the Laveen Fire District
Clarence Hein and Burdena Pasenelli of the Rio Verde Fire District
David Calverley, Wayne Morrow, and Peter Reiss of the Scottsdale County Island Fire District
William Hamel and Jack Meyer of the Sun City West Fire District
Diane Price and Michael Sellers of the Sun Lakes Fire District
Victor Zaharchenko of the Tempe County Island Fire District
No candidates for: Aguila and Wickenburg Volunteer Fire Districts.
In addition, many of the above-listed districts didn't have a sufficient number of candidates to fill out their boards, so there may be write-ins or after-election appointments to fill out the district boards.
In partisan races -
Facing token opposition:
Republican Bill Montgomery faces only a Libertarian in his race to serve out the last two years of failed AG candidate Andrew Thomas' unexpired term as Maricopa County Attorney
Republican Mark Anderson faces only a Libertarian in his race for West Mesa Justice of the Peace
Republican Dan Ryan faces an independent write-in candidate in his race for McDowell Mountain Constable
Unopposed:
Democrat Joe Guzman, Justice of the Peace, Agua Fria
Republican Phillip Woolbright, Justice of the Peace, Arrowhead
Democrat Armando Gandarilla, Justice of the Peace, Downtown
Republican Mark Chiles, Justice of the Peace, East Mesa
Democrat C. Steven McMurry, Justice of the Peace, Encanto
Republican Chris Mueller, Justice of the Peace, Hassayampa
Democrat J.B. Getzwiller, Justice of the Peace, Ironwood
Republican Gary Handley, Justice of the Peace, Manistee
Republican Michael Reagan, Justice of the Peace, McDowell Mountain
Republican Gerald Williams, Justice of the Peace, North Valley
Democrat Rachel Torres Carrillo, Justice of the Peace, West McDowell
Democrat Alfredo Gamez, Constable, Agua Fria
Republican Ron Myers, Constable, Arrowhead
Republican William Taylor, Constable, East Mesa
Democrat Maria Ligocki-Russell, Constable, Encanto
Republican Miles Keegan, Constable, Hassayampa
Republican Billy Spurlock, Constable, Ironwood
Republican Lennie McCloskey, Constable, Manistee
Republican Philip Hazlett, Constable, North Valley
Republican James Kevin Jones, Constable, San Marcos
Democrat Ben Miranda, Constable, South Mountain
Republican Joe Arredondo, Constable, University Lakes
Democrat Rudy Santa Cruz, Constable, West McDowell
Republican Fred Arnett, Constable, West Mesa
Updates on the actual races as the general election grows nearer...
Friday, September 17, 2010
Latest poll: Arizonans dissatisfied with the legislature's handling of the state's finances
ASU's Morrison Institute of Public Policy has released the results of a poll showing that a solid majority, one that crosses all partisan lines, is dissatisfied with the legislature's handling of the state's budget.
In the poll, 61% of Republicans, 76% of Democrats, 67% of Independents and 68% overall disapproved or strongly disapproved of the job that the Arizona legislature has done with the state's budget.
Other highlights included:
66% (63% R, 71% D, and 62% I) agreed or strongly agreed with the statement "I believe the state Legislature has the wrong priorities."
52% (73% R, 29% D, and 49% I) agreed or strongly agreed with the statement "I believe the governor has provided good leadership in formulating state public policy."
74% (61% R, 83% D and 75% I) agreed or strongly agreed with the statement "There is too much partisan conflict at the Arizona State Capitol."
67% (59% R, 71% D, and 70% I) agreed or strongly agreed with the statement "I would like to see more moderate candidates elected to public office."
Generally speaking, the results cited above (and not cited, due to space constraints here) favor Democrats in Arizona (though Terry Goddard is going to have to do better than split independents down the middle to have a chance to win the race for governor.)
There was one result that best illustrates the possible problem that faces Republicans this fall -
Only 36% (45% R, 20% D, and 38% I) agreed or strongly agreed with the statement "I am generally statisfied with the way things are going in Arizona state government."
I expected the low Democratic number on that one, but less than 1/2 of Republican respondents approved of the job that the incumbent majority has done on down on West Washington????
Maybe R candidates and officials should expand their sphere of constituent contact beyond local LD meetings and country club restaurants and golf courses (that's probably good advice in general, including for Democrats.)
No guarantees here, but numbers like those presented in the poll, if more than remotely accurate, speak to the possibility of Arizona running counter to the national trend of 2010 being a down year for Democrats.
There was also one seriously disappointing surprise in the poll -
45% (42% R, 50% D, and 44% I) agreed or strongly agreed with the statement "In times of budget crisis, the Legislature should be able to use funds protected by voter ballots."
HALF of Democrats trust the lege to appropriately handle funds from things like First Things First in times of "budget crisis"?? A larger percentage than even the Republicans?
I'll take this to mean that at least half of all Democrats don't read this blog, or Blog for Arizona, or Rum, Romanism, and Rebellion, or Democratic Diva, or Dry Heat Democrat, or....
Anyway, more poll info can be found here and here.
A Cronkite News Service story on the poll, via the Arizona Capitol Times, is here.
In the poll, 61% of Republicans, 76% of Democrats, 67% of Independents and 68% overall disapproved or strongly disapproved of the job that the Arizona legislature has done with the state's budget.
Other highlights included:
66% (63% R, 71% D, and 62% I) agreed or strongly agreed with the statement "I believe the state Legislature has the wrong priorities."
52% (73% R, 29% D, and 49% I) agreed or strongly agreed with the statement "I believe the governor has provided good leadership in formulating state public policy."
74% (61% R, 83% D and 75% I) agreed or strongly agreed with the statement "There is too much partisan conflict at the Arizona State Capitol."
67% (59% R, 71% D, and 70% I) agreed or strongly agreed with the statement "I would like to see more moderate candidates elected to public office."
Generally speaking, the results cited above (and not cited, due to space constraints here) favor Democrats in Arizona (though Terry Goddard is going to have to do better than split independents down the middle to have a chance to win the race for governor.)
There was one result that best illustrates the possible problem that faces Republicans this fall -
Only 36% (45% R, 20% D, and 38% I) agreed or strongly agreed with the statement "I am generally statisfied with the way things are going in Arizona state government."
I expected the low Democratic number on that one, but less than 1/2 of Republican respondents approved of the job that the incumbent majority has done on down on West Washington????
Maybe R candidates and officials should expand their sphere of constituent contact beyond local LD meetings and country club restaurants and golf courses (that's probably good advice in general, including for Democrats.)
No guarantees here, but numbers like those presented in the poll, if more than remotely accurate, speak to the possibility of Arizona running counter to the national trend of 2010 being a down year for Democrats.
There was also one seriously disappointing surprise in the poll -
45% (42% R, 50% D, and 44% I) agreed or strongly agreed with the statement "In times of budget crisis, the Legislature should be able to use funds protected by voter ballots."
HALF of Democrats trust the lege to appropriately handle funds from things like First Things First in times of "budget crisis"?? A larger percentage than even the Republicans?
I'll take this to mean that at least half of all Democrats don't read this blog, or Blog for Arizona, or Rum, Romanism, and Rebellion, or Democratic Diva, or Dry Heat Democrat, or....
Anyway, more poll info can be found here and here.
A Cronkite News Service story on the poll, via the Arizona Capitol Times, is here.
Thursday, September 16, 2010
Congressman Harry Mitchell - "Advancing Research"
I know that in the last post, I mentioned that I don't normally post press releases verbatim, before doing so. I'm doing it again, but letters from Congressman Harry Mitchell are something that I've always made an exception for.
From an email -
From an email -
Degenerative diseases are devastating. We all have someone in our lives who suffers from a chronic and potentially life-threatening disease like Alzheimer’s, Lou Gehrig’s, Huntington’s, Parkinson’s, cancer or even diabetes. These relationships in my own life have pushed me to strongly support cutting-edge medical research so that we can discover treatments for the millions of Americans who suffer from a wide array of diseases and conditions.Later...
One of the first things I did after taking office in 2007 was take to the floor of the House and urge my colleagues to overturn the stem cell research ban. Congress rarely gets an opportunity to offer hope to the millions of Americans who suffer from these diseases; however, last year we were given the opportunity to invest in science and ethical research. On March 9, 2009, President Obama issued an Executive Order to allow federal funding of human stem cell research, including human embryonic stem cell research. I thought this was a great step in the right direction because many scientists believe embryonic stem cells hold greater promise than adult stem cells for further scientific breakthroughs which will advance research on many devastating diseases.
Recently, the issue of stem cell research has been reintroduced to the national discussion as a result of a temporary injunction that was placed on federal stem cell research by a federal court in August.
Although the injunction has since been lifted by a higher federal court, I have joined on as a cosponsor to the Stem Cell Research Advancement Act of 2009, H.R. 4808. This bill would expand the lot of available stem cells for research by codifying that federal research projects may use stem cells regardless of the date on which the stem cells were derived. I am proud to be a supporter of this bill, and will continue to strongly support stem cell research to help discover treatments for a wide array of diseases and conditions.
As always, I look forward to being able to provide you with regular updates and continue our dialogue in support of advancing important medical research.
Sincerely,
Harry
Ben Quayle's Grueling Daily Campaign Schedule
I don't normally publish press releases verbatim, and Tedski at Rum, Romanism, Rebellion already has this one up, but it made me laugh.
And that makes it worth a post of its own.
From an ADP press release, Ben Quayle's daily schedule -
There's nothing I can add. I'm a wiseass, but this one is out-of-my-class funny. Probably because it's closer to the truth than the Quayle camp would care to admit...
And that makes it worth a post of its own.
From an ADP press release, Ben Quayle's daily schedule -
Ben Quayle - Daily Campaign Schedule
10:00 – 10:30 AM: Wake-up, get ready
Notes: Out of Frosted Flakes, order the maid to go buy more -- this time with a prize!
10:30 – 11:00 AM: Web surfing time
Notes: Use new password Nik gave me to get around Dad’s cybersecurity filters
11:00 – 11:15 AM: Fundraising meeting with Dad
Reminder: Don’t ask questions. Dad gets upset.
11:15 -11:30 AM: Check schedule to see if I have time to debate
Notes: I’m really very busy
11:30 AM – 12:30 PM: Gym
Reminder: Upper body, focus on abs
12:30 – 1:00 PM: Shower
Reminder: Wear the power suit that has the shoulder pads. Gotta look grown-up.
1:00 – 2:00 PM: Lunch – Stingray Sushi
Notes: Trainer says soy paper has fewer carbs
2:00 – 2:05 PM: Check schedule to see if I have time to debate
Notes: It still feels like I’m way busy
2:05 – 2:30 PM: Private tutoring session (Arizona 101)
Reminder: Ask tutor about those cities north and west of Scottsdale.
2:30 – 2:45 PM: Tynwald Capital
Reminder: Make sure Dad’s deposit into company went through so I can collect paycheck
3:00 – 4:00 PM: Play with Louie the Dog. My favorite campaign expenditure!
4:00 – 4:30 PM: Private tutoring session (Congress 101)
Reminder: Ask tutor about D.C. club scene. It better not be lame!
4:30 -5:00 PM: Check in with Dad on fundraising
Reminder: Don’t tell Dad I plan to go out tonight
5:00 – 5:02 PM: Check schedule to see if I have time to debate
Notes: Dude, where does the time go?
5:15 – 6:15 PM: Nap
6:30 – 8:00 PM: Invite bros over to party (keep it cool. no cops)
Notes: Show them new drinking game I invented. Cross between Flip Cup and Beer Pong – Super Beer Flip Cup Pong!
8:00 – 9:30 PM: Dinner at Barcelona
10:00 – 11:30 PM: Pre-club partying
Notes: Don't post any photos to Facebook this time!
11:30 PM – 2:00 AM: Hit the Scottsdale clubs
Notes: Dad’s folks following me, can’t let them catch me out like last time. Call for black Town Car to drive me home.
2:30 AM: Maid tucks me in
Notes: Tomorrow, I’ll think some more about debating. LOL!!!
There's nothing I can add. I'm a wiseass, but this one is out-of-my-class funny. Probably because it's closer to the truth than the Quayle camp would care to admit...
David Schweikert has a remarkably low opinion of AZRep reporters
...Of course, he probably has an even lower opinion of wiseass bloggers. :)
From YouTube -
I was going to title this post "Whatthehell was he thinking?", but I understand that Schweikert was on a radio talk show of the "preaching to the choir" variety. Still, he is smart enough to know that *nothing* that is recorded (video or audio) ever really goes away.
Should make for an interesting conversation when he and Congressman Harry Mitchell sit down with the Rep's editorial board...
From YouTube -
I was going to title this post "Whatthehell was he thinking?", but I understand that Schweikert was on a radio talk show of the "preaching to the choir" variety. Still, he is smart enough to know that *nothing* that is recorded (video or audio) ever really goes away.
Should make for an interesting conversation when he and Congressman Harry Mitchell sit down with the Rep's editorial board...
The Three Amigos vote against American workers...yet again
They may be poor representatives of the people of their districts, their state, and their country, but dammit, *nobody* can claim that they are inconsistent about it. They almost always vote against the best interests of their constituents.
On Wednesday, Arizona's Three Amigos, better known as Congressmen Trent Franks, Jeff Flake, and John Shadegg (Rs - Whichever Corporation Is Ponying Up The Campaign Cash That Week) voted as a bloc against H.R.2039, the Congressional Made in America Promise Act of 2009.
The bill simply amends the original Buy American Act by extending its provisions "to articles, materials, and supplies acquired for the use of any legislative branch office, including the House of Representatives and the Senate..."
The Buy American Act requires that when purchasing materials for its use, the government give preference to American-made items.
Extending the provisions of that act to cover materials purchased by and for the chambers of Congress may not have a huge direct economic benefit for American workers (Congress may spend a lot of money on its operations, but it's less than a drop in the bucket of the entire economy), but the move is significant as a symbol of Congress' efforts to address the plight of American workers.
Hence the united opposition of Franks, Flake, and Shadegg.
Shadegg isn't running for reelection (but look for his name to pop up in two years if Jon Kyl doesn't run for another term in the Senate), but the other two are, and are facing strong Democratic opponents.
John Thrasher, the career teacher challenging Franks in CD2, has already sent out a press release highlighting the anti-American worker vote.
Rebecca Schneider, challenging Flake in CD6, has a page on her website highlighting Flake's unwavering "no" votes against anything that would help his district, state, or country.
They can use your help in defeating these stalwarts of the Party of NO - please contribute to John Thrasher's campaign here and to Rebecca Schneider's campaign here.
Later!
On Wednesday, Arizona's Three Amigos, better known as Congressmen Trent Franks, Jeff Flake, and John Shadegg (Rs - Whichever Corporation Is Ponying Up The Campaign Cash That Week) voted as a bloc against H.R.2039, the Congressional Made in America Promise Act of 2009.
The bill simply amends the original Buy American Act by extending its provisions "to articles, materials, and supplies acquired for the use of any legislative branch office, including the House of Representatives and the Senate..."
The Buy American Act requires that when purchasing materials for its use, the government give preference to American-made items.
Extending the provisions of that act to cover materials purchased by and for the chambers of Congress may not have a huge direct economic benefit for American workers (Congress may spend a lot of money on its operations, but it's less than a drop in the bucket of the entire economy), but the move is significant as a symbol of Congress' efforts to address the plight of American workers.
Hence the united opposition of Franks, Flake, and Shadegg.
Shadegg isn't running for reelection (but look for his name to pop up in two years if Jon Kyl doesn't run for another term in the Senate), but the other two are, and are facing strong Democratic opponents.
John Thrasher, the career teacher challenging Franks in CD2, has already sent out a press release highlighting the anti-American worker vote.
Rebecca Schneider, challenging Flake in CD6, has a page on her website highlighting Flake's unwavering "no" votes against anything that would help his district, state, or country.
They can use your help in defeating these stalwarts of the Party of NO - please contribute to John Thrasher's campaign here and to Rebecca Schneider's campaign here.
Later!
New investigation into MCSO "misconduct and mismanagement"
Something tells me that perhaps someone feels that the feds are getting close...
In what is probably the first in a string of public occurrences of Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio throwing someone under the PR bus, a memo written by one of his senior aides accusing another senior aide of "misconduct and mismanagement" was made public yesterday.
From the Arizona Republic -
All this comes on this week's $154K fine for Arpaio's illegal "in kind" contribution to the recent County Attorney campaign of another political ally, Bill Montgomery. Arpaio funded a "hit piece" against Rick Romley, a long-time adversary and the other candidate for Maricopa County Attorney.
Note: some long-time or Arizona-based readers may recognize the name "Joel Fox." Fox was the front man/fall guy in the one of the most brazen and tawdry illegal campaign finance schemes ever associated with Arizona politics.
Later...
In what is probably the first in a string of public occurrences of Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio throwing someone under the PR bus, a memo written by one of his senior aides accusing another senior aide of "misconduct and mismanagement" was made public yesterday.
From the Arizona Republic -
A top aide to Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio has requested an investigation of the sheriff's second-in-command, Chief Deputy David Hendershott, and two of his allies, signaling growing concern among the sheriff's top hierarchy about the agency's management.When describing the relationship between Arpaio and Babeu, "close political ally" is an understatement. In many ways, Babeu could be best described as an "Arpaio in training." I expect that his involvement with the case may actually be less to protect Black and Fox than to make sure any "investigation" doesn't go beyond those two.
A memo written by Deputy Chief Frank Munnell and recently delivered to Arpaio alleges years of misconduct and mismanagement by Hendershott, who has directed day-to-day operations of the Sheriff's Office since 2008 and has been in the department's top echelon since the mid-1990s.
[snip}
Munnell asked Arpaio to place Hendershott and two of his close allies, Deputy Chief Larry Black and Capt. Joel Fox, on administrative leave pending an independent investigation by the Arizona Department of Public Safety.
Instead, Arpaio confirmed Wednesday, the sheriff sent the investigation to Pinal County Sheriff Paul Babeu, a close political ally.
"I decide who to send investigations to if it's necessary," Arpaio said, declining to comment further on the allegations. "This has been given by me to another agency. It wouldn't be appropriate for me to discuss it."
All this comes on this week's $154K fine for Arpaio's illegal "in kind" contribution to the recent County Attorney campaign of another political ally, Bill Montgomery. Arpaio funded a "hit piece" against Rick Romley, a long-time adversary and the other candidate for Maricopa County Attorney.
Note: some long-time or Arizona-based readers may recognize the name "Joel Fox." Fox was the front man/fall guy in the one of the most brazen and tawdry illegal campaign finance schemes ever associated with Arizona politics.
Later...
Tuesday, September 14, 2010
Response to John Kavanagh's comment
Earlier today I wrote a post about the recently-released 2009 crime statistics and how they serve to undermine Jan Brewer's campaign plank of "Fear The Dastardly Brown-Skinned People."
That post elicited a comment from LD8 State Representative John Kavanagh (R-Fountain Hills), a comment that deserves a post of its own in response.
First, his comment -
My response:
Let the spin begin.
OK, that's too snarky.
First, I want to thank Rep. Kavanagh for his comment.
I may disagree with him on pretty much everything that Ds and Rs can disagree on, but his comment was a serious one and deserves the courtesy of a serious response.
His first paragraph was actually correct, as far as it goes - the data gathered and published by the FBI doesn't specify the demographic origin of the people who committed the criminal acts that make up the statistics. The criminals behind the acts could be undocumented immigrants, legal immigrants, citizens (native born or naturalized), or little green men from Mars*.
Nor does the data explain the reduction in criminal activity, only that there *was* a reduction.
However, he should have left it at that. While Kavanagh feels, perhaps with some justification, that the crime data released by the FBI is incomplete, he tried to buttress his anti-immigrant rhetoric with statistics of questionable provenance.
He cited statistics generated by the Maricopa County Sheriff's Office (MCSO) to prove his point that undocumented immigrants commit crimes at a rate out of proportion with their numbers in society as a whole.
Specifically, he trots out the percentage of undocumented immigrants booked into county jail as proof of his position.
The problem with that? MCSO targets undocumented immigrants (and documented immigrants, and citizens who happen look like they have ancestors with some familiarity with the Spanish language) for harassment and arrest out of proportion to their numbers in Maricopa County as a whole, to the point that MCSO has sacrificed service of felony and misdemeanor warrants, a prime function of sheriff's offices all over the country, in order to divert resources and personnel to headline- and camera-grabbing anti-immigrant sweeps.
The stats coming out of the MCSO may be accurate in terms of what the MCSO does, but that doesn't mean that those stats accurately reflect Arizona or even Maricopa County as a whole.
In other words, while undocumented immigrants may make up 14% (or more) of those arrested by MCSO, they aren't necessarily responsible for 14% (or more) of the crimes committed in Maricopa County.
* - If little green men from Mars are involved, the Men In Black want to know. :)
That post elicited a comment from LD8 State Representative John Kavanagh (R-Fountain Hills), a comment that deserves a post of its own in response.
First, his comment -
It is all but impossible to use statewide crime statistics to measure the impact of a "shadow group," such as illegal immigrants, on crime. Of course if you were so inclined, the decrease in crime between 2008 and 2009 is consistent with illegals causing more crime because that is when the jobs and illegal immigrants both began to leave Arizona. But again, it is stretching the data to arrive at any conclusion.
A better indicator, although once again not a complete one, is to compare the number of known criminal illegal aliens with their portion of the population. Using the often cited Pew estimate of 500,000 illegal immigrants in Arizona, we can conclude that they comprise about 7.7% of the population. However, they make up about 14% of persons “booked” into Maricopa County jails and constitute about 14.7% of Arizona’s prison population. Thus, known data supports the view that illegal immigrants commit more crime, beyond being here illegally, than legal residents.
State Rep. John Kavanagh
My response:
Let the spin begin.
OK, that's too snarky.
First, I want to thank Rep. Kavanagh for his comment.
I may disagree with him on pretty much everything that Ds and Rs can disagree on, but his comment was a serious one and deserves the courtesy of a serious response.
His first paragraph was actually correct, as far as it goes - the data gathered and published by the FBI doesn't specify the demographic origin of the people who committed the criminal acts that make up the statistics. The criminals behind the acts could be undocumented immigrants, legal immigrants, citizens (native born or naturalized), or little green men from Mars*.
Nor does the data explain the reduction in criminal activity, only that there *was* a reduction.
However, he should have left it at that. While Kavanagh feels, perhaps with some justification, that the crime data released by the FBI is incomplete, he tried to buttress his anti-immigrant rhetoric with statistics of questionable provenance.
He cited statistics generated by the Maricopa County Sheriff's Office (MCSO) to prove his point that undocumented immigrants commit crimes at a rate out of proportion with their numbers in society as a whole.
Specifically, he trots out the percentage of undocumented immigrants booked into county jail as proof of his position.
The problem with that? MCSO targets undocumented immigrants (and documented immigrants, and citizens who happen look like they have ancestors with some familiarity with the Spanish language) for harassment and arrest out of proportion to their numbers in Maricopa County as a whole, to the point that MCSO has sacrificed service of felony and misdemeanor warrants, a prime function of sheriff's offices all over the country, in order to divert resources and personnel to headline- and camera-grabbing anti-immigrant sweeps.
The stats coming out of the MCSO may be accurate in terms of what the MCSO does, but that doesn't mean that those stats accurately reflect Arizona or even Maricopa County as a whole.
In other words, while undocumented immigrants may make up 14% (or more) of those arrested by MCSO, they aren't necessarily responsible for 14% (or more) of the crimes committed in Maricopa County.
* - If little green men from Mars are involved, the Men In Black want to know. :)
Brewer: "crime's up"; FBI: Only if by "up" you mean "down"
Jan Brewer spent most of the spring and summer bolstering her (now-successful) bid for the AZGOP's nomination for governor by playing into the GOP base's fear of the "other," particularly immigrants. She has spent the last few months spouting off about a growing crime wave that is wracking Arizona, particularly immigrant-caused crimes.
...In her statement regarding her approval of SB1070...
...In the Clean Elections debate for the Republican candidates for governor...
...During an interview with Fox News...
...And in numerous other speeches, interviews, and press releases.
She spends most of her time talking up her stance against immigrants, but ignoring the issues that matter most to Arizonans - the state's failing education system (for their children's future) and the state's cratered economy (for their own present and future). She has nothing to address those concerns.
Well, it turns out that she has little more than nothing on crime - her alleged "crime wave" that Arizonans from which Arizonans need protection is nothing but a lie.
From the FBI's 2009 crime statistics for Arizona, released on Monday -
Violent crimes: down 13.9% (compared to a national drop of 5.3%)
Violent crime rate (per 100K population): down 15.1% (nationally, decreased 6.1%)
Property crimes: down 11.7% (down 4.6% nationally)
Property crime rate: down 13% (down 5.5% nationally)
Across the board, crime in Arizona has declined at a greater rate than the decline nationally.
I'm guessing that at some point, Brewer's handlers told her to keep driving home the "crime is up" talking point, probably both to bolster support for her among the fearful GOP faithful and to subtly undermine the credibility of the Democratic nominee, Arizona Attorney General Terry Goddard.
However, lying so brazenly only serves to further undermine her credibility as a candidate best qualified to lead Arizona into the next decade.
And after her dreadful performance during the televised debate with Goddard, she needs to shore up her credibility, not undermine it.
...In her statement regarding her approval of SB1070...
...In the Clean Elections debate for the Republican candidates for governor...
...During an interview with Fox News...
...And in numerous other speeches, interviews, and press releases.
She spends most of her time talking up her stance against immigrants, but ignoring the issues that matter most to Arizonans - the state's failing education system (for their children's future) and the state's cratered economy (for their own present and future). She has nothing to address those concerns.
Well, it turns out that she has little more than nothing on crime - her alleged "crime wave" that Arizonans from which Arizonans need protection is nothing but a lie.
From the FBI's 2009 crime statistics for Arizona, released on Monday -
Violent crimes: down 13.9% (compared to a national drop of 5.3%)
Violent crime rate (per 100K population): down 15.1% (nationally, decreased 6.1%)
Property crimes: down 11.7% (down 4.6% nationally)
Property crime rate: down 13% (down 5.5% nationally)
Across the board, crime in Arizona has declined at a greater rate than the decline nationally.
I'm guessing that at some point, Brewer's handlers told her to keep driving home the "crime is up" talking point, probably both to bolster support for her among the fearful GOP faithful and to subtly undermine the credibility of the Democratic nominee, Arizona Attorney General Terry Goddard.
However, lying so brazenly only serves to further undermine her credibility as a candidate best qualified to lead Arizona into the next decade.
And after her dreadful performance during the televised debate with Goddard, she needs to shore up her credibility, not undermine it.
Jim Holway, candidate for CAWCD
In Arizona and across the country, the two most important issues on voters' minds this fall are the kitchen table issues of education and jobs. They want to have a sense of security about their presents and futures (and those of their children) and will cast their votes for candidates that they think will work to enhance education and fix the economy.
However, this being Arizona, a third item should be added to that list.
Water.
Without it, there won't be many people here to benefit from the education system. Of course, since there won't be any people here to sustain the economy because people follow jobs as much as or more than jobs follow people, there won't be any need to strengthen Arizona's education system.
Because of that, the need for a sustainable supply of clean water, the most important office that almost no one has ever heard of is the Central Arizona Water Conservation District (CAWCD). The members of CAWCD serve as the board of directors of the Central Arizona Project (CAP). CAP oversees and handles the delivery of Colorado River water to central Arizona (aka - metro Phoenix) and Tucson.
CAWCD, while a low-visibility office, is one that is vital to the long-term viability of Arizona economically and socially, and it is an office where we need elect the most qualified and knowledgeable candidates.
This is the first in a series of posts about some of the candidates in this year's race.
First up: Jim Holway, a retired water resources manager and educator, and a long-time community activist and leader.
From an email -
However, this being Arizona, a third item should be added to that list.
Water.
Without it, there won't be many people here to benefit from the education system. Of course, since there won't be any people here to sustain the economy because people follow jobs as much as or more than jobs follow people, there won't be any need to strengthen Arizona's education system.
Because of that, the need for a sustainable supply of clean water, the most important office that almost no one has ever heard of is the Central Arizona Water Conservation District (CAWCD). The members of CAWCD serve as the board of directors of the Central Arizona Project (CAP). CAP oversees and handles the delivery of Colorado River water to central Arizona (aka - metro Phoenix) and Tucson.
CAWCD, while a low-visibility office, is one that is vital to the long-term viability of Arizona economically and socially, and it is an office where we need elect the most qualified and knowledgeable candidates.
This is the first in a series of posts about some of the candidates in this year's race.
First up: Jim Holway, a retired water resources manager and educator, and a long-time community activist and leader.
From an email -
Candidate
Jim Holway
Elect Experienced & Responsible Leadership
Over 20 Years of Water Management Experience:
Arizona Department of Water Resources, Assistant Director
ASU Professor, Water Policy and Sustainability
ASU Coordinator, Arizona Water Institute
Director, Western Lands and Communities Program, Sonoran Institute
Community Leadership:
Phoenix Parks Board, 9 years; Chair for 2 years
Papago Park Ad Hoc Advisory Committee, Chairperson, 3 years
Arizona Town Hall Research Committee, 2 years
Trust for Public Land, Arizona Advisory Council, 4 years
Arizona Heritage Alliance, Board of Directors, 3 years
Governor’s Growing Smarter Oversight Council, 4 years
Education:
PhD Regional Planning, University of North Carolina
BA Political Science, Cornell University
Jim’s experience and leadership skills will help Arizonans to plan and invest for an affordable and sustainable water future.
What is CAWCD?
The Central Arizona Water Conservation District operates the Central Arizona Project, bringing Colorado River water 336 miles across the desert from Lake Havasu through Phoenix to south of Tucson. CAWCD operates the canal system, pumping plants, and the Navajo generating station. The power required to deliver CAP water makes CAWCD the single largest user of electricity in the State of Arizona.
The CAWCD Board is comprised of 15 members from Maricopa, Pinal and Pima counties, each serving a 6 year term. Maricopa County voters will elect 5 board members on November 2, 2010.
Key issues facing the CAWCD Board include:
Promoting efficient operations and wise water use
Securing the next “bucket” of water to supply Central Arizona
Preparing for drought and the potential for more severe future droughts
Maintaining healthy ecosystems and water quality in the Colorado River Basin
Representing Arizona in multi-state and international negotiations
Paid for by Holway for CAWCD
http://www.jimholway.com/ HolwayforCAWCD@gmail.com
Please Vote November 2, 2010Later...
Monday, September 13, 2010
May out of LD17 race
One of the masterminds of the rash of faux-Green candidacies in close races, Steve May, has withdrawn from the race for a House seat from LD17 (Tempe and south Scottsdale).
From the Arizona Capitol Times -
He's saying he needs to get his s**t together before running for office again.
May's withdrawal from the race comes as a surprise, but perhaps it shouldn't - he was blasted in an Arizona Republic editorial on the faux-Green controversy that was published this weekend and looked *really* bad in an Arizona Capitol Times piece where he admitted to a reporter that he operated his Segway while under the influence, boasted about writing the section of Arizona law that exempted Segways from DUI statutes, and flipped off Tempe police officers who stopped him for operating his Segway while intoxicated.
He's got a lot of s**t to get together.
May is listed as "withdrawn late" so his name may still be on the November ballot. A call to the Secretary of State's office to clarify that matter went unanswered (actually, I reached an operator, asked for someone who could answer a media inquiry, was transferred to hold, and was eventually disconnected without talking to another person or even having a chance to leave a message.
More later...
From the Arizona Capitol Times -
Former lawmaker Steve May announced Sept. 13 he is terminating his campaign for the House in Legislative District 17.Let me translate that quote into simple English.
{snip}
May issued a written statement Sept. 13 about the termination of his campaign. It doesn’t give specific reasons for withdrawing, but says his pursuit of public office as a write-in helped him come to the conclusion that he is personally not ready to hold office again.
“This unique experiment in democracy has also raised my own awareness, and helped me see clearly that personal and political timing must align for a campaign to truly be successful,” May wrote. “I spoke about the need for honest leadership, and I have determined the necessary personal alignment does not exist to continue the campaign.”
He's saying he needs to get his s**t together before running for office again.
May's withdrawal from the race comes as a surprise, but perhaps it shouldn't - he was blasted in an Arizona Republic editorial on the faux-Green controversy that was published this weekend and looked *really* bad in an Arizona Capitol Times piece where he admitted to a reporter that he operated his Segway while under the influence, boasted about writing the section of Arizona law that exempted Segways from DUI statutes, and flipped off Tempe police officers who stopped him for operating his Segway while intoxicated.
He's got a lot of s**t to get together.
May is listed as "withdrawn late" so his name may still be on the November ballot. A call to the Secretary of State's office to clarify that matter went unanswered (actually, I reached an operator, asked for someone who could answer a media inquiry, was transferred to hold, and was eventually disconnected without talking to another person or even having a chance to leave a message.
More later...
Sunday, September 12, 2010
Q: What's the best way to get the desired results from a committee hearing?
A: Stack the committee with a membership that favors the desired outcome, of course.
On Wednesday at 9 a.m, there will be a meeting in the Arizona State Senate building (SHR1, to be precise) of "SENATE AD HOC COMMITTEE ON IMPACTS OF FEDERAL HEALTH CARE REFORM IMPLEMENTATION."
The agenda includes presentations on areas such as "Medicaid requirements," "Insurance requirements," and impacts on healthcare providers.
The list of presenters doesn't look *too* stacked - somebody from AHCCCS is presenting on Medicaid requirements, people from private insurers are presenting on insurance requirements, somebody from the Arizona Medical Association is presenting on impacts to healthcare providers and so forth. While I don't expect any support for federal HCR (the AHCCCS person will say whatever the Governor wants said, the private insurers hate HCR anyway, etc.), none of the presenters stands out as wholly inappropriate for this.
However, there is some eyebrow-raising stuff in the actual membership of the "ad hoc" committee.
It's chaired by Sen. Sylvia "strip-mining uranium is a good thing because the Earth is only 6000 years old" Allen.
The other senator on the panel is Sen. John Nelson (R-LD12). His professional background is engineering, his political background is slightly to the right of Attila the Hun. Which by the standards of the Arizona Republican Party, makes him far too moderate. They tried to primary him out this year but failed miserably.
The members include:
Don Hughes, who looks to be a lobbyist for private insurers
Dr. Lynne Pirie, a Phoenix-based plastic surgeon
Chris Rohrer, a surprisingly poor name for a Google search. Seems most likely to be an IT manager at SRP (of some sort). Not totally certain about that one, though.
Byron Schlomach, acorporate lobbyist "researcher" for the Goldwater Institute. I'd call him a ringer, but given that GI is notorious for its strong influence over the output of the legislature (GI and the Center for Arizona Policy form the two *real* branches of the Arizona Legislature, though that isn't taught in any civics classes in Arizona), his presence on the panel is hardly surprising.
Dr. Bruce Shelton, a Phoenix-based homeopath.
Bridget Gollogly doesn't have much of an online footprint, though a Google search did turn up this letter-to-the-editor of the Payson Roundup from five years ago. Given the ideology expressed in the letter and the hometown listed as Payson, my best guess is that she is a friend of Allen's from LD5 on a road trip.
So, let's run down the roster -
Two professional lobbyists
Two not-exactly-mainstream medical professionals (with all due respect to plastic surgeons and homeopaths)
One possible IT management professional
One FOS (Friend Of Sylvia)
One Senator, who though reputed to be intelligent and knowledgeable, has an area of expertise other than health care. (Note: I've worked with and around engineers for most of my adult life, and have nothing but the utmost respect for them. However, I would no more ask an engineer to remove a brain tumor than I would ask a neurosurgeon to build a bridge.)
And lastly, the entire motley assortment is chaired by a Senator whose displays of (a lack of) intellectual depth have brought repeated ridicule upon Arizona (i.e. - she backed up the "6000-year-old Earth" comment with things like "we don't do enough for our rich people."
There isn't any question what the committee will determine - they will say that Health Care Reform is un-American, un-Constitutional, a Communist conspiracy to sap and impurify all our precious bodily fluids, and worse.
Nope, the main question here is how long will it take before they realize that they could balance the state budget by recording meetings like this and marketing them as broad farces.
We're talking Academy Award material here...
Edit on 9/14 -
State Rep. Kyrsten Sinema has issued a statement on the hearing -
On Wednesday at 9 a.m, there will be a meeting in the Arizona State Senate building (SHR1, to be precise) of "SENATE AD HOC COMMITTEE ON IMPACTS OF FEDERAL HEALTH CARE REFORM IMPLEMENTATION."
The agenda includes presentations on areas such as "Medicaid requirements," "Insurance requirements," and impacts on healthcare providers.
The list of presenters doesn't look *too* stacked - somebody from AHCCCS is presenting on Medicaid requirements, people from private insurers are presenting on insurance requirements, somebody from the Arizona Medical Association is presenting on impacts to healthcare providers and so forth. While I don't expect any support for federal HCR (the AHCCCS person will say whatever the Governor wants said, the private insurers hate HCR anyway, etc.), none of the presenters stands out as wholly inappropriate for this.
However, there is some eyebrow-raising stuff in the actual membership of the "ad hoc" committee.
It's chaired by Sen. Sylvia "strip-mining uranium is a good thing because the Earth is only 6000 years old" Allen.
The other senator on the panel is Sen. John Nelson (R-LD12). His professional background is engineering, his political background is slightly to the right of Attila the Hun. Which by the standards of the Arizona Republican Party, makes him far too moderate. They tried to primary him out this year but failed miserably.
The members include:
Don Hughes, who looks to be a lobbyist for private insurers
Dr. Lynne Pirie, a Phoenix-based plastic surgeon
Chris Rohrer, a surprisingly poor name for a Google search. Seems most likely to be an IT manager at SRP (of some sort). Not totally certain about that one, though.
Byron Schlomach, a
Dr. Bruce Shelton, a Phoenix-based homeopath.
Bridget Gollogly doesn't have much of an online footprint, though a Google search did turn up this letter-to-the-editor of the Payson Roundup from five years ago. Given the ideology expressed in the letter and the hometown listed as Payson, my best guess is that she is a friend of Allen's from LD5 on a road trip.
So, let's run down the roster -
Two professional lobbyists
Two not-exactly-mainstream medical professionals (with all due respect to plastic surgeons and homeopaths)
One possible IT management professional
One FOS (Friend Of Sylvia)
One Senator, who though reputed to be intelligent and knowledgeable, has an area of expertise other than health care. (Note: I've worked with and around engineers for most of my adult life, and have nothing but the utmost respect for them. However, I would no more ask an engineer to remove a brain tumor than I would ask a neurosurgeon to build a bridge.)
And lastly, the entire motley assortment is chaired by a Senator whose displays of (a lack of) intellectual depth have brought repeated ridicule upon Arizona (i.e. - she backed up the "6000-year-old Earth" comment with things like "we don't do enough for our rich people."
There isn't any question what the committee will determine - they will say that Health Care Reform is un-American, un-Constitutional, a Communist conspiracy to sap and impurify all our precious bodily fluids, and worse.
Nope, the main question here is how long will it take before they realize that they could balance the state budget by recording meetings like this and marketing them as broad farces.
We're talking Academy Award material here...
Edit on 9/14 -
State Rep. Kyrsten Sinema has issued a statement on the hearing -
“This meeting will only reaffirm the positive impact that federal law will have on Arizona after Republicans, including Gov. Jan Brewer, took it away,” said Assistant House Democratic Leader Kyrsten Sinema. “Under the law, insurance companies that prey on Americans every day won’t be able to take advantage of them anymore. Some of those Americans include children with autism and women who have survived breast cancer.”Later...
Brewer and Republicans kicked nearly 400,000 seniors and adults off of health care and eliminated federally mandated and funded health care for nearly 40,000 kids, making Arizona the only state in the nation to do so. (Democrats then restored health care for kids.)
“Arizonans are used to Sen. Allen’s wasteful committees on federal, not state, issues — her ad hoc climate initiatives committee last year solved nothing, but reminded us that she believes the Earth is only 6,000 years old,” Sinema said. “Perhaps Sen. Allen should stop creating government waste and start being a part of the solution.”
Saturday, September 11, 2010
Arizona Republic blasts Steve May and the AZGOP over faux Greens
From an editorial in the Arizona Republic -
It's a pretty strong condemnation of May and the AZGOP by the Rep's editorial board, far stronger than anything that they usually put out regarding Republicans. I don't expect that to be part of a pattern (even when the Rs wholly deserve it, as frequently happens) because the AZRep doesn't like messing with the status quo power structure, and the AZGOP is that in Arizona.
However, I'll savor this moment while it lasts.
Beware of May's, Pullen's phony Green candidates
Steve May, a Republican activist once considered someone worth taking seriously, has performed the second-most obnoxious act of this election season.
May recruited a group of at least nine people, nearly all identified as Mill Avenue drifters and homeless people, as fake Green Party candidates - ballot place-holders who May hopes might steal votes from legitimate Democratic Party candidates, thus improving the chances of GOP opponents.
{snip}
So, illegal? No. Obnoxious? Certainly. But it was not the most obnoxious act of the political season.
No, the dubious award for Misplaced Chutzpah in a General Election Cycle goes this year to Randy Pullen and the Arizona Republican Party. Pullen and the party not only did not have the decency to be embarrassed by May's chicanery, they defended it.
{snip}
Steve May, Randy Pullen and the rest of their band of merry pranksters may be willing to pretend that toying with voters is all in good fun. We suspect the rest of Arizona takes its democracy more seriously than that.
It's a pretty strong condemnation of May and the AZGOP by the Rep's editorial board, far stronger than anything that they usually put out regarding Republicans. I don't expect that to be part of a pattern (even when the Rs wholly deserve it, as frequently happens) because the AZRep doesn't like messing with the status quo power structure, and the AZGOP is that in Arizona.
However, I'll savor this moment while it lasts.
This week's debate/event schedule
Most of this info is from the website of the Citizens Clean Elections Commission. They seem to be the only group that Republican candidates will pay attention to when they come calling regarding debates this year. Maybe it has something to do with legal requirements for campaign funding.
Not that Carl Seel (R - LD6 ) cares about minor details like that, but more on that in the near future...
On to the list of debates -
Statewide race:
Superintendent of Public Instruction
Wednesday, September 15, 2010
7:00 PM - 7:30 PM
Televised on KAET
Horizon Channel 8
Legislative races:
LD11
Monday, September 13, 2010
6:00 PM
Embassy Suite Paradise Valley
4415 E Paradise Village Parkway South
Phoenix, AZ 85032
LD10
Tuesday, September 14, 2010
6:30pm
ASU West Campus, La Sala Ballroom
4701 W Thunderbird Rd
Glendale, AZ 85306
LD19
Tuesday, September 14, 2010
6:00 PM
Country Inn and Suites
6650 E Superstition Springs Blvd
Mesa, AZ 85206
LD28
Tuesday, September 14, 2010
6:00 PM
Pima Community College District Office
Community Room
4905 E Broadway
Tucson, AZ
LD23
Wednesday, September 15, 2010
6:00 PM
Holiday Inn Casa Grande
777 N Pinal Ave
Casa Grande, AZ 85122
LD9
Thursday, September 16, 2010
6:00 PM
Library
Thunderbird School of Global Management
1 Global Place
Glendale, AZ 85306
LD20
Friday, September 17, 2010
6:30 PM
ASU Research Park, Marco Technology Works Building
Room FDC #1408
7700 S River Parkway
Tempe, AZ 85284
Other events:
- Penny Kotterman, Democratic nominee for Superintendent of Public Instruction, has a calendar entry on her website for "ASA Event" on Monday morning, 8:30 a.m., at Metro Tech High School, an entry that includes a "forum" component. Not sure what it is about, since "ASA" could refer to both "Arizona School Administrators" and "Arizona Students Association" and both would work for this race and for holding events in a school. Since the event *is* at a school, it probably isn't open to the public anyway.
- Manny Cruz is running for State Mine Inspector. Right now, no events are listed on the calendar section of his website for this week. However, if his campaign updates the website or sends a list of events to me, I'll update this post.
- On Wednesday, September 15, a group called "Scottsdale Residents and Business Owners for Open, Clean and Efficient Government" will be holding a forum for candidates for Scottsdale City Council at 11 a.m. in the City Hall Kiva. The group is runfor Mayor Jim Lane by R. Lamar Whitmer and is expected to craft an event that favors Lane's selected candidates. The group was formed on August 5, 2010 as a $500 Exemption Committee by Whitmer.
- On Thursday, September 16, the Community Council of Scottsdale will hold a forum for Scottsdale City Council candidates in the Granite Reef Senior Center from 7 p.m. to 8:30 p.m.
Updates as they become available (will add without noting the edits)...
Not that Carl Seel (R - LD6 ) cares about minor details like that, but more on that in the near future...
On to the list of debates -
Statewide race:
Superintendent of Public Instruction
Wednesday, September 15, 2010
7:00 PM - 7:30 PM
Televised on KAET
Horizon Channel 8
Legislative races:
LD11
Monday, September 13, 2010
6:00 PM
Embassy Suite Paradise Valley
4415 E Paradise Village Parkway South
Phoenix, AZ 85032
LD10
Tuesday, September 14, 2010
6:30pm
ASU West Campus, La Sala Ballroom
4701 W Thunderbird Rd
Glendale, AZ 85306
LD19
Tuesday, September 14, 2010
6:00 PM
Country Inn and Suites
6650 E Superstition Springs Blvd
Mesa, AZ 85206
LD28
Tuesday, September 14, 2010
6:00 PM
Pima Community College District Office
Community Room
4905 E Broadway
Tucson, AZ
LD23
Wednesday, September 15, 2010
6:00 PM
Holiday Inn Casa Grande
777 N Pinal Ave
Casa Grande, AZ 85122
LD9
Thursday, September 16, 2010
6:00 PM
Library
Thunderbird School of Global Management
1 Global Place
Glendale, AZ 85306
LD20
Friday, September 17, 2010
6:30 PM
ASU Research Park, Marco Technology Works Building
Room FDC #1408
7700 S River Parkway
Tempe, AZ 85284
Other events:
- Penny Kotterman, Democratic nominee for Superintendent of Public Instruction, has a calendar entry on her website for "ASA Event" on Monday morning, 8:30 a.m., at Metro Tech High School, an entry that includes a "forum" component. Not sure what it is about, since "ASA" could refer to both "Arizona School Administrators" and "Arizona Students Association" and both would work for this race and for holding events in a school. Since the event *is* at a school, it probably isn't open to the public anyway.
- Manny Cruz is running for State Mine Inspector. Right now, no events are listed on the calendar section of his website for this week. However, if his campaign updates the website or sends a list of events to me, I'll update this post.
- On Wednesday, September 15, a group called "Scottsdale Residents and Business Owners for Open, Clean and Efficient Government" will be holding a forum for candidates for Scottsdale City Council at 11 a.m. in the City Hall Kiva. The group is run
- On Thursday, September 16, the Community Council of Scottsdale will hold a forum for Scottsdale City Council candidates in the Granite Reef Senior Center from 7 p.m. to 8:30 p.m.
Updates as they become available (will add without noting the edits)...
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