Current results, from the AZSOS (raw numbers only)
Some commentary:
Note: The vote totals were current as of the time I pulled them from the website of the AZSOS. They WILL change as later votes are counted.
Traditionally, in AZ, early voting favors D candidates while "day of" voting tends to favor R candidates, and we saw some of that last night with some races flipping. However, one encouraging sign, and one that may serve to mitigate the "day of" effect is the fact that while R voters tend to vote earlier the day, many polling places reported long lines later in the day, indicating folks voting after work or classes.
The CD2 race between Jonathan Nez and Eli Crane has a differential of fewer than 100 votes, making it too close to call.
Some of the other races are too close to be called "officially", but the candidates are separated by thousands of votes. IMO, while those race might tighten up as later votes are counted, I don't believe the final outcomes will be.
It looks like the Ds finally flipped the state legislature; the cushions may change, but control (probably) won't.
The biggest loser of last night (other than the R party in general, which got absolutely thumped):
Turning Point. They spent millions of dollars in order to elect their preferred candidates (like Andy Biggs), and failed. After their failure to affect the races for the SRP governing board earlier this year, they seem to have become politically irrelevant.
Another big loser:
Republican State Senator Jake Hoffman. He hand-picked some candidates for statewide office (like Alexander Kolodin and Kimberly Yee) but they got trounced.
The final big loser (at least for this post):
The Biggs family.
Not only did Andy Biggs lose his bid for the governorship, his daughter Mylie is behind in her race to move into the State Senate.
It should have been a walkover win for her, as LD14 is an overwhelmingly R district.
No comments:
Post a Comment