Monday, July 13, 2026

AZ Polling is in!

OK.  Only for R primary races.  And then only for statewide offices.

From KPNX, written by Brahm Resnik, dated 7/9 -

Andy Biggs dominates, Tom Horne trails in new poll of Arizona GOP primaries

Just 12 days before Arizona’s primary election, a new poll shows the Republican statewide races falling into three categories: one clear winner, three clear front-runners and one competitive race that could end School Superintendent Tom Horne’s political career.

The flash poll, by Arizona-based NextGen Polling, surveyed 1,707 high-frequency Republican primary voters who have cast a ballot in three or four of the last four elections. The poll, done July 8 and 9, has a margin of error of 2.5 percentage points. 


[snip] {Governor}


East Valley Congressman Andy Biggs has built an insurmountable polling lead over fellow Congressman David Schweikert of Fountain Hills. Biggs was supported by 66.1% of respondents vs 10.4% for Schweikert. Schweikert is losing his own 1st Congressional District by 41 points, 56.2% to 14.8%, according to the poll.

[snip] {SOS}

In the primary to serve as Arizona’s chief elections officer,  State Rep. Alexander Kolodin of Scottsdale has a 24-point lead over former Arizona Republican Party Chair Gina Swoboda. Kolodin is up 44% to 20%, with 36% of respondents undecided.

[snip] {AG}

Senate President Warren Petersen of Gilbert leads lawyer Rodney Glassman of Phoenix by 15 points, 43% to 28%, with about 29% of respondents undecided.

[snip] {SPI}

In the most competitive statewide primary, incumbent Tom Horne finds himself trailing State Treasurer Kimberly Yee by 8 points, according to the NextGen poll. Yee leads Horne by 44% to 36%, with 20 percent of respondents undecided. 

[snip] {Treasurer}

Elijah Norton, CEO of a company that sells extended vehicle warranties, leads State Board of Education Chair Katherine Haley 43% to 20%, according to the poll. 

NextGen Polling took a poll in June; ad that one shows that the leaders in the races widening their leads in July over what they had June.  With one exception.

Gov. - Biggs 57%, Schweikert 11%

AG - Petersen 26%, Glassman 11%

SOS - Kolodin 16%,, Swoboda 11%

Treasurer - Norton 15%, Haley 12%

SPI - Horne 33%, Yee 24%


No real surprises here, though  I hoped that they would cover legislative races (including Democratic primaries) and the CorpComm race.

At this point, there's only one primary poll left, and it's the only one that counts.


No comments: