Generally speaking, such early bills are no more successful than bills that are filed once the session starts (for various reasons, most bill proposals don't go anywhere).
However, they serve as good discussion fodder during the political equivalent of baseball's "hot stove" season.
This year, the first legislator to have bills posted on the lege's website is Representative, and soon-to-be State Senator, John Kavanagh (R-Fountain Hills).
He has filed SB1001, "nuclear emergency appropriations; assessments" and SB1002, "prisoners; compensation for labor performed".
SB1001 is a relatively non-controversial measure to fund nuclear emergency planning for two fiscal years, with the funds coming from an assessment (aka - tax) on the operators of the state's nuclear power generating station. Versions of this have passed before; this one will probably see smooth sailing and pass in 2015.
SB1002, however, could see some major headwinds.
It would triple the maximum compensation that a prisoner in a state, or privately-operated, prison could receive for their labor, with certain exceptions.
Don't get too excited - the current limit is 50 cents per hour; tripling that still leaves the compensation at barely above "slave wage" levels.
Even that, though, may be too rich for legislators who like to score political points by
More importantly, given Kavanagh's close relationship with the private prison industry and the fact that this bill would cost the industry money, the bill probably won't pass as is.
Caveat: there could be some backroom finagling going on here, some nuance to this that I do not see right now where the ultimate beneficiaries of this are the private prisons, or the companies that contract for the use of prison labor.
It could just die a quiet death (not get taken up by a committee, or not see floor action if it does pass committee).
It could be watered down (increase the compensation limit, but by a smaller amount).
Finally, it could be utilized as a "vehicle" bill (have the guts of the bill stripped out and replaced the text of another, via a "strike everything amendment", aka - a "striker").
Whatever the ultimate fates of these two bills, they are just the first of 1000? 1200? more? proposals that the lege will consider.
Can't say that I think it will be a "fun" ride, but it should be an interesting one...