Crossposted from Blog for Arizona
...And I don't mean the pizza place, either...
the announcement that Democratic Congresswoman Ann Kirkpatrick (CD1)
will challenge John McCain (R-Warmonger) for the US Senate seat that he
currently holds, expect current state legislators to look at the CD1
seat...and other, lower-level, electeds to look at running for the
legislative seats being vacated by those looking to run for Congress,
and so on.
And that's not even considering the possibility of one
or more additional members of Congress going after McCain's seat (i.e. -
Kyrsten Sinema (D-CD9) and/or Matt Salmon (R-CD5) ).
Nor does it consider the possibility of a political newby/unknown entering (and upending) a race.
finally, it doesn't factor in what the Supreme Court will rule in the
case before it, where the Republicans in the Arizona Legislature sued to
wrest control of the decennial Congressional redistricting process from the
voter-created Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission. The USSC
will issue its ruling on the issue in the coming weeks, and a ruling in
favor of the legislature could result in a wholesale redrawing of
Arizona's Congressional districts.
A ruling for the lege will
result in many Rs jumping into races for what they consider to be "safe"
districts; a ruling for the status quo will result in more Ds running
for "competitive" districts.
Among the names being bandied about (and
as the US Constitution requires only that candidates for Congress live
in the state, not the district, most of these people could be considered
to be carpetbaggers of a mild sort):
Update on 5/26/2015:
- Catherine Miranda, Democratic state senator, has already announced that she is "exploring" a run for the CD1 seat. Her main claim to fame: she endorsed Republican Doug Ducey for governor in 2014, which probably won't help her much in a Democratic primary.
- Andy Tobin,
Republican former speaker of the AZ House, a former candidate for
Congress, and current head of the soon-to-cease-to-exist Arizona
Department of Weights and Measures
- Carlisle Begay,
faux-Democratic state senator; had already been rumored to be
considering a challenge to Kirkpatrick. OK, the only real question
about his candidacy was if he was going to run as a D or an R...
- Ben Quayle, R former Congressman; last seen working as a lobbyist
- Adam Kwasman, R former state representative and candidate for Congress
- Frank Antenori, R former state senator and candidate for Congress
- Russell Pearce, recalled R former president of the state senate (who has been making noises about a political comeback of some sort)
Kelli Ward, R state senator who's exploring a challenge to McCain; she
may decide that a run at a vacant Congressional seat is more viable
- Christine Jones, R former candidate for governor, who's always in the rumor mix when there is an open seat
Chad Campbell, D former minority leader in the AZ House of
Representatives, who is widely expected to run for a higher office. The
only real questions about that regard which office and when
Paul Babeu, R sheriff in Pinal County. Once considered a rising star
among the Rs, he briefly ran for Congress in 2012. During that
campaign, news broke that he is gay. End of campaign for Congress.
Still working the nativist circles in the Republican Party, so he may be
looking for another run at higher office
- Jamescita Peshlakai, D state representative; unlike most of the people named about, she actually lives in northern AZ
Chris Deschene, D former state legislator and former candidate for
president of the Navajo Nation; widely respected and always on the short
list of potential candidates in northern Arizona
- Ken Bennett, R
former secretary of state and state legislator, he's been raising his
visibility recently; while he now lives in Maricopa County, he has ties
to northern AZ
More dominoes will fall once the USSC renders its decision, so stay tuned...