Not really an "analysis" post; more of an "information" post...
Lost in the ginned-up hubbub surrounding the Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission (AIRC) has been the fact that while the AIRC is drawing new Congressional and legislative district maps, most of the counties in Arizona are similarly drawing new districts for county-level offices like county supervisor.
Maricopa County (my home) has a redistricting page here, courtesy the Maricopa County Recorder's website. A ,pdf of a powerpoint presentation on the county redistricting process is here.
The deadline for submitting suggested maps has passed (June 1) but people have until October 1 to submit comments on five citizen-submitted plans (here, here, here, here, and here) and one county-crafted plan.
Call me a cynic, but something tells me that the county-crafted plan is most likely to be implemented - not that the supes will really find any of the citizen-submitted plans truly objectionable - all result in one overwhelmingly Democratic district so Mary Rose Wilcox can keep her job and four Republican-heavy districts for the four Republicans on the MCBOS. :)
Given that the supes are in charge of their own redistricting, the proposed new districts look a *lot* like the current districts. The only people who might find themselves in new supervisorial districts are those who live on the border of their current districts.
People like me.
Currently, I live in the tiny corner of Scottsdale that is in SD1, the embattled Fulton Brock's district. Under the county-crafted proposal (and three of the citizen-submitted proposals), my area of Scottsdale would be transferred to SD2, Don Stapley's district. Not a big difference in practical terms, but there is a bit of logic to the move - most of Scottsdale is already in SD2.
There are also a number of neighborhoods in south Scottsdale that are currently in SD3 (Andy Kunasek) that would also be moved into SD2 under the county-crafted plan.
Take a look at the plans, and if you wish to comment, there are two email links on the main page.